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re: Longhorn fans: Stop trying to convince Gumps it was a safety. They will never agree.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 7:48 am to magildachunks
Posted on 9/14/22 at 7:48 am to magildachunks
It's just a weird line in the sand to draw.
If it was a safety, Texas goes up 12-10 and gets the ball on their own 35 or 40 on the kick. They'd gone 3 and out the previous 2 possessions, so it's not like it was super probable they march down the field and score, and they only scored 1 TD all day so it's very improbable they march on a TD drive.
Instead, we punt, they get it on our 39 and end up getting a first down kicking a field goal to go up 13-10.
Just not a lot of difference in "expected win % change" there.
If it was a safety, Texas goes up 12-10 and gets the ball on their own 35 or 40 on the kick. They'd gone 3 and out the previous 2 possessions, so it's not like it was super probable they march down the field and score, and they only scored 1 TD all day so it's very improbable they march on a TD drive.
Instead, we punt, they get it on our 39 and end up getting a first down kicking a field goal to go up 13-10.
Just not a lot of difference in "expected win % change" there.
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 8:06 am
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Posted on 9/14/22 at 8:44 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
It's just a weird line in the sand to draw.
If it was a safety, Texas goes up 12-10 and gets the ball on their own 35 or 40 on the kick. They'd gone 3 and out the previous 2 possessions, so it's not like it was super probable they march down the field and score, and they only scored 1 TD all day so it's very improbable they march on a TD drive.
Instead, we punt, they get it on our 39 and end up getting a first down kicking a field goal to go up 13-10.
Just not a lot of difference in "expected win % change" there.
People absolutely LOVE crying about Bama when we win a close game. A team gets so close to the top of the mountain, and the only reason they didn't get there is because there is some kind of grand conspiracy that keeps Bama there. LSU fans are actually in a permanent state of this. Its quite retarded, and embarrassing.
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 8:48 am
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