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Reviewing my admittedly uninformed "keys to victory" from SECCG
Posted on 12/6/21 at 10:59 am
Posted on 12/6/21 at 10:59 am
I posted this a couple of days before the championship game, so I thought it might be interesting to see how closely my keys adhered to reality.
1. No turnovers.
Florida was playing Georgia very close in the first half, and with about three minutes to go the wheels fell off due to two turnovers that Georgia converted into touchdowns.
I'm not convinced Georgia can drive the field on us consistently; as per usual under Golding, we've herp-derped our way through the regular season defensively and are just now beginning to round into shape. Without turnovers to give them a short field, I'm not sure Georgia will score more than 24 to 27 points on us.
Actual result: No turnovers, and Georgia had two horrible ones (three, if you count the turnover on downs inside our 20). As I thought, with no turnovers from us, Georgia scored 24 points.
2. Bryce must complete at least 70% of his passes.
I have no confidence whatsoever we'll be able to run the ball consistently in this game. Our ability to generate offense is going to rely almost exclusively on Bryce and the receivers. This means Bryce will have to be exceptionally efficient. Fortunately, he's very capable of doing that.
Actual result: Bryce only completed 59% of his passes; however, the passes he completed were INCREDIBLY timely and efficient, including three touchdowns and (I think) 13 first downs.
As a side note, we were better at running the ball than I expected, with 115 yards on 26 carries (4.4 ypc).
3. Roll the pocket.
We haven't done this at all this year (to my recollection), which makes no sense to me. Rolling Bryce out will allow him to see the field better, slow down Georgia's pass rush, and give him the option to make plays with his feet if needed. I wouldn't use a ton of designed runs for him -- he's tough, and has proven that this year -- but if he goes down we have no chance whatsoever to win this game.
Actual result: We didn't roll the pocket at all that I remember. However, our offensive line played their hearts out, and gave Bryce time to throw or scramble if he chose. Biggest key to the game, in my opinion.
4. Georgia backs and tight ends can't have more than 100 yards receiving.
Our linebackers and defensive backs HAVE to take away the screens, wheel routes and seam routes by Georgia. I'm not terribly worried about Bennett being able to complete long passes on us consistently; I think our pass rush will significantly reduce the time he has to target long-developing routes. But that means his intermediate routes have to be covered consistently, so he can't check down to an open receiver or hit a tight end along the seam.
Actual result: We failed terribly at this, with Georgia tight ends catching two touchdown passes and generating more than 150 yards (I think) receiving. This single-handedly kept Georgia in the game as long as they were. We had no answer for them.
5. Stetson Bennett can't have more than 50 yards rushing.
Bennett is much more athletic than people give him credit for, and his scrambling ability will give us headaches if we don't maintain gap control with our rush. I think we'll sack him a few times, but he can single-handedly extend Georgia drives with his legs. If he does that on even a semi-regular basis, they'll be able to control the game.
Actual result: Bennett only had 11 yards rushing (after sacks are taken into account). He did convert, or come close to converting, a couple of long third downs with his legs, but in general his scrambling ability wasn't as much of a factor as I'd feared.
1. No turnovers.
Florida was playing Georgia very close in the first half, and with about three minutes to go the wheels fell off due to two turnovers that Georgia converted into touchdowns.
I'm not convinced Georgia can drive the field on us consistently; as per usual under Golding, we've herp-derped our way through the regular season defensively and are just now beginning to round into shape. Without turnovers to give them a short field, I'm not sure Georgia will score more than 24 to 27 points on us.
Actual result: No turnovers, and Georgia had two horrible ones (three, if you count the turnover on downs inside our 20). As I thought, with no turnovers from us, Georgia scored 24 points.
2. Bryce must complete at least 70% of his passes.
I have no confidence whatsoever we'll be able to run the ball consistently in this game. Our ability to generate offense is going to rely almost exclusively on Bryce and the receivers. This means Bryce will have to be exceptionally efficient. Fortunately, he's very capable of doing that.
Actual result: Bryce only completed 59% of his passes; however, the passes he completed were INCREDIBLY timely and efficient, including three touchdowns and (I think) 13 first downs.
As a side note, we were better at running the ball than I expected, with 115 yards on 26 carries (4.4 ypc).
3. Roll the pocket.
We haven't done this at all this year (to my recollection), which makes no sense to me. Rolling Bryce out will allow him to see the field better, slow down Georgia's pass rush, and give him the option to make plays with his feet if needed. I wouldn't use a ton of designed runs for him -- he's tough, and has proven that this year -- but if he goes down we have no chance whatsoever to win this game.
Actual result: We didn't roll the pocket at all that I remember. However, our offensive line played their hearts out, and gave Bryce time to throw or scramble if he chose. Biggest key to the game, in my opinion.
4. Georgia backs and tight ends can't have more than 100 yards receiving.
Our linebackers and defensive backs HAVE to take away the screens, wheel routes and seam routes by Georgia. I'm not terribly worried about Bennett being able to complete long passes on us consistently; I think our pass rush will significantly reduce the time he has to target long-developing routes. But that means his intermediate routes have to be covered consistently, so he can't check down to an open receiver or hit a tight end along the seam.
Actual result: We failed terribly at this, with Georgia tight ends catching two touchdown passes and generating more than 150 yards (I think) receiving. This single-handedly kept Georgia in the game as long as they were. We had no answer for them.
5. Stetson Bennett can't have more than 50 yards rushing.
Bennett is much more athletic than people give him credit for, and his scrambling ability will give us headaches if we don't maintain gap control with our rush. I think we'll sack him a few times, but he can single-handedly extend Georgia drives with his legs. If he does that on even a semi-regular basis, they'll be able to control the game.
Actual result: Bennett only had 11 yards rushing (after sacks are taken into account). He did convert, or come close to converting, a couple of long third downs with his legs, but in general his scrambling ability wasn't as much of a factor as I'd feared.
This post was edited on 12/6/21 at 11:14 am
Posted on 12/6/21 at 11:06 am to Sauron
Keys to victory:
Saban standing on Alabama sideline - check
Kirby jumping up and down on Georgia sideline - check
Saban standing on Alabama sideline - check
Kirby jumping up and down on Georgia sideline - check
This post was edited on 12/6/21 at 11:08 am
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