re: UA Basketball (16-15, 8-10)

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If we make the NCAAt this season we need to a lockdown Oats.

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ANALYSIS:
Alabama has been extremely effective at times this year and should be regarded as a serious opponent. They have a record of 9-7 and are ranked 34th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.700 (the seventh-highest in the country), they've also prepared themselves by taking on some of the best teams in the college game.

Alabama has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #32 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings and embracing one of the game's most blistering paces (the fourth-fastest in D1), they will score about 109 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Alabama is one of the more accurate teams in the college game when it comes to shooting the three. They're ranked 41st nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 37.1% of their attempts from there vs. AO. The team will try to shoot a fair amount of threes, too. Roughly 44.2% of their field goal attempts vs. AO are from long, giving the team a top-50 ranking in that category. Alabama has also been fairly successful when shooting from the field. The squad is ranked 54th in the country in field goal percentage, making approximately 46.0% of their attempts vs. AO.

Alabama plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 72nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 91 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Alabama has done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 26th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 50.8% of their attempts from close-up. Alabama has also had some success this season preventing opponents from converting many of their overall field goal attempts. The team ranks #54 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 39.4% of their total attempts from the floor.

Alabama has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked sixth in positive momentum.

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ANALYSIS:
Missouri has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. They are ranked #51 (out of 353) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 9-7.

Missouri will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 39th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 89 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Missouri has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked tenth in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 73.28 vs. AO. Missouri has also been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 53rd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 53.0% of their attempts from close-up.

Missouri is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 106th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Missouri does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 8.3% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 12th nationally), and with a rating of 18.08, they're 22nd in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. Missouri also has the potential to make you pay if you let them get close to the rim. The team is ranked 37th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 65.2% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

Missouri has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 343rd overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. When playing on the road, Missouri performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 320th in our site's away-from-home metric.

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CURIOUS TRENDS:

When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Missouri often performs better than normal. Missouri is more efficient than usual 75% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 91.76. In their other contests, Missouri performs better than the norm 38% of the time.

Missouri does better vs. clubs that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.27%, Missouri performs above average 75% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 38% of the time.

Missouri performs worse against squads that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.02%, Missouri is more efficient than normal 38% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 75% of the time.

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