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re: OT: Alabama Coronavirus Thread (see link in OP for case numbers and death totals in AL)
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:25 pm to pvilleguru
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:25 pm to pvilleguru
quote:
1999 cases,
OK, now they ADH is just playing numbers games with us.
A while back the number sat on 999 for at least several hours, then boom the number went to like 1015 in a minute.
1
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:32 pm to East Coast Band
They have since increased it to 2006 cases and 53 reported deaths.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:39 pm to The Spleen
quote:
I don't think it was intentional, but rather just not enough date inputs to accurately model.
This and there's a second aspect that I don't think can be modeled well, which is how easily social distancing is implemented in most of Alabama.
For most of us, take away church and ball games (be they little league or NCAA) and there are simply no other situations where we gather in large crowds.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:44 pm to JustGetItRight
LINK ]Former UA walk-on 'feeling much better' post-positive COVID-19 test (BamaOnLine)
Jeremy Watson
Jeremy Watson
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 6:30 pm
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:47 pm to TidalSurge1
quote:
Former UA walk-on 'feeling much better' post-positive COVID-19 test (BamaOnLine)
For those who hate clickbait, it's Jeremy Watson.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:51 pm to TidalSurge1
A little earlier in the thread there was a lot of discussion about 'reported' deaths vs APHD numbers. Well, a work acquaintance just had a family member pass away. The person had terminal cancer and getting nothing but palliative care. They'd been expecting his death for some time.
The JeffCo ME ran a covid test and he tested positive. The family was told it would be reported as a covid death. My acquaintance feels like this is just a sad attempt by JeffCo to pump the numbers up for some reason and you can't help but wonder if he's right.
The JeffCo ME ran a covid test and he tested positive. The family was told it would be reported as a covid death. My acquaintance feels like this is just a sad attempt by JeffCo to pump the numbers up for some reason and you can't help but wonder if he's right.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 6:16 pm to JustGetItRight
A lot of places in the US are probably doing that. Meanwhile places like Germany are projected not doing that which would partially explain their lower death rate
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:09 pm to 1BamaRTR
quote:
A lot of places in the US are probably doing that. Meanwhile places like Germany are projected not doing that which would partially explain their lower death rate
Yeah, I read that Germany reported the cause of death as the comorbidity in cases where it was a terminal/serious illnesses.
Still, Germany's low death rate probably still has a lot more to do with their extremely high ICU capacity. Even in Italy, central and southern regions like Lazio (Rome) etc are showing death rates a lot more similar to the USA where cases didn't overwhelm hospital resources.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:28 pm to wm72
quote:
Still, Germany's low death rate probably still has a lot more to do with their extremely high ICU capacity. Even in Italy, central and southern regions like Lazio (Rome) etc are showing death rates a lot more similar to the USA where cases didn't overwhelm hospital resources.
Agreed. I don't think the ADPH numbers are inflated and I'm sure quite a few of the reported ones are legit covid. I was just giving an example of why ADPH just doesn't take the local source's word for it.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:47 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
quote:
Public health emergency declared for Maxwell-Gunter AFB
I got the email from the Wing Commander detailing why he did this. It was basically because he could. Nothing major has happened. It just gives him more authority to make local decisions without waiting for higher approval.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:48 pm to JustGetItRight
quote:
Agreed. I don't think the ADPH numbers are inflated and I'm sure quite a few of the reported ones are legit covid. I was just giving an example of why ADPH just doesn't take the local source's word for it.
Yeah, it's a good point you make.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:02 pm to TidalSurge1
quote:
Fifty-one patients who recovered from coronavirus in South Korea have tested positive again, raising fears the virus can be reactivated.
The patients - from the country's worst-hit city, Daegu - were put in quarantine after being diagnosed with the virus, then tested positive again days being released.
Korea’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) said the virus was likely ‘reactivated’, rather than patients becoming re-infected.
Scientists at the Government-run health body believe the virus may lay dormant at undetectable levels in human cells.
Daily Mail
This is pretty damn scary if it’s true
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:02 pm to wm72
quote:
Some others, like the New Rochelle NY area, don't seem to have any rhyme or reason.
New Rochelle was tied to a Jewish lawyer who attended a number of religious gatherings.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:23 pm to Cobrasize
quote:
This is pretty damn scary if it’s true
Sounds like it's probably not true:
quote:
...Scientists at the Government-run health body believe the virus may lay dormant at undetectable levels in human cells.
They say that for unknown reasons the viral particles can then be reactivated - but it is unclear if patients become infectious again.
Experts say there is no evidence to prove that the virus acts in this way and studies in monkeys have actually shown the opposite.
And they say in cases where patients produce a positive result twice, it is normally because of a test giving the wrong result, which happens one in five times.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 11:49 pm
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:40 pm to TidalSurge1
Point is that there is still more unknown than known about this virus.
When we open the economy back up, many will become infected but we really have little choice.
When we open the economy back up, many will become infected but we really have little choice.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:07 pm to rcbama
Hopefully effective anti-viral med(s) and vaccine(s) will be available before long.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 11:46 pm
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:28 pm to Cobrasize
quote:
Fifty-one patients who recovered from coronavirus in South Korea have tested positive again, raising fears the virus can be reactivated.
The patients - from the country's worst-hit city, Daegu - were put in quarantine after being diagnosed with the virus, then tested positive again days being released.
Korea’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) said the virus was likely ‘reactivated’, rather than patients becoming re-infected.
Scientists at the Government-run health body believe the virus may lay dormant at undetectable levels in human cells.
That would be horrible.
However, even though the article claims this info is from "Korea’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC)" hopefully the article takes it way out of context. The only couple of websites I see running it so far are not really UK papers with stellar reputations for thorough fact checking.
(I guess in these times one has to qualify that: I don't mean that at all in the sense of strong political affiliations but simply, for example, both Daily News and Sun are infamous with all European soccer fans for constantly running daily headlines on par with "Saban Will Take Falcons Job" where the only hard evidence turns out to be "he was in Atlanta this weekend".)
Posted on 4/7/20 at 12:41 am to wm72
True. And for those who don't know, take anything you read from the NY Post with a grain of salt, it's a tabloid.
Posted on 4/7/20 at 2:28 am to TidalSurge1
quote:
You have inspired me to try to quit smoking
That is great brother. I had to go home and be around a wife that smokes. I have asked her not to smoke around me. It was easier when I was in the hospital.
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