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re: 2018-19 Alabama Basketball Season Thread (15 days to go)

Posted on 10/19/18 at 8:20 pm to
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 8:20 pm to
quote:


1/8 @LSU W

1/29 Miss State W

3/9 @Arkansas L



Quick check, I'd probably flip all 3

I think MSU should finish top 2-3. The hump ain't fun when they are good


LSU has the talent + playing at home. I wouldn't like that game


Arkansas should suck
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 8:32 pm to
Miss St is at home. I’ll take a close win.

We always find a way to win at LSU, even when they’re better than us. LSU may be better than us this year too. I do have us losing to them at home tho. That’s just how Alabama is

And then we always suck playing at Arkansas so who knows
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 10/19/18 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

Minnesota 131, Cleveland 123. Collin Sexton – 23 minutes, 14 points (6-9 FG, 2-2 FT), 2 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 foul.
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25552 posts
Posted on 10/20/18 at 4:46 am to
LINK


Braxton Key is gonna be eligible this year. Their fans are going crazy over him....
Posted by My2Bits
2500 mi from Tuscaloosa due west
Member since Jun 2012
4812 posts
Posted on 10/20/18 at 7:17 am to
So what was 'his' hardship?
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25552 posts
Posted on 10/20/18 at 8:06 am to
Probably made something up. Since he moved home any excuse would have worked.




If there is seriously a hardship though I wish him the best.
Posted by Chad44
Studio City
Member since Jul 2009
528 posts
Posted on 10/20/18 at 3:43 pm to
Key was such a disappointment last season.
Posted by Gary Busey
Member since Dec 2014
33277 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 11:18 am to
JaMychal Green will be out for 4-6 weeks because of a broken jaw.
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 12:46 pm to
Sexton vs Trae Young tonight at 5. Download the nba app and make an account and u can watch it for free
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25552 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 2:32 pm to
Damn the season needs to hurry tf up and get here.
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 6:46 pm to
quote:

BREAKING: Jontay Porter tore his right ACL and MCL in today’s scrimmage against Southern Illinois. He’s out for the season.
Posted by Tide or Die87
Huntsville, AL
Member since Jan 2012
12978 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 7:21 pm to
Damn them Porters frail.
Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 10/21/18 at 7:30 pm to
Collin had a bad game off the bench today. But pretty much the whole team did. They were 8 point favorites at home and got smoked by the Hawks 133-111. Young went OFF. Had 35 points and 11 assists. Collin was 2-11 with 4 points
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 9:43 am to
KenPom Rankings are out

Alabama #51

Projected Record Overall: 15-14, 8-10 SEC
Individual Game by Game Results Record: 14-15, 5-13

Based on Game by Game, KenPom has you starting 9-1 OOC but then finishing 5-14 SEC + Baylor

Indv Game Result Projections

Bold = "Toss Up" or projected winner <60% Win%


Wins

- Southern
- AppSt
- Northeastern
59%
- Murray St
- Georgia St
- Zona
- Liberty
- Penn St
53%
- SFA
- TAMU
- Ole Miss
- UGA
- Vandy
- LSU

Losses
- @UCF 42%
- Kentucky
- @LSU
- @Mizzou
- @UTk
- @Baylor
- MissSt
47%
- @AU
- @Vandy 42%
- @MissSt
- Florida
45%
- @TAMU
- @USCe
- AU 42%
- @Arky 41%

This post was edited on 10/22/18 at 9:45 am
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 10:12 am to
Some things to note about KenPom Preseason Rankigns

- Losing Sexton (70% min, 33% Poss) is a killer for KenPom preseason. OU got a similar effect losing TYoung but returning 6 of top 7 MPG leaders

- His projection places insignificant impact value on recruits >Top 30 (Kira not in ESPN, #39 247)


- Tevin Mack while recognized, likely isn't highly valued due to his limited min% at Texas

- Losing Key is probably a hit in the system, as compared to Reese/Smith he prob is near wash offensively (slightly better v higher comp) but defensively his stats were better for KenPom
This post was edited on 10/22/18 at 10:15 am
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24510 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:09 am to
So what you're saying is Bama stacked, algorithms flawed
Posted by McGregor
Member since Feb 2011
6320 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:25 am to
15 votes in the AP Poll, 35th overall
LINK
This post was edited on 10/22/18 at 11:26 am
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:48 am to
quote:


So what you're saying is Bama stacked, algorithms flawed


Just saying that things that generate optimism for Bama fans don't register well with KenPom preseason.

The real disconnect is probably from the KenPom vs Bama fan expectations in improvements and/or increased contributions from last year's rotational / role players






Posted by Bamafan15
Member since Jan 2016
6820 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:50 am to
Braxton Key is eligible immediately at UVA. Officially announced today
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25552 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:59 am to
Yeah, Im gonna guess we are gon a be better than 15-14.

We beat Auburn(SECChamp), URI(A10 champ), Miss.State(25 game winner), and Memphis(20 game winner) without Collin last year.


Kira should be ready to go by SEC play, Mack is an upgrade over Key, Defense is long and more experienced, and Reese,Herb, and Galin should all be further developed on the offensive end.

We are gonna be better than people think.
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