Vaquero

quote:

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There is never a scenario where money comes in heavy on the favorite and yet the line goes down. If money comes in heavy on the favorite the line increases.
If money comes in heavy on the dog the line decreases. It never works the other way. Never.

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I respectfully disagree. There are reverse line movements all time in sports betting. Take this game for instance: 95% of money line bets are on Texas. Why would Vegas continue to move the line in the opposite direction, increasing the odds on such bets, when all the money appears to be on Texas?

Sports books are no different than casinos, they're in it to make money and not just from the juice. I've been burned too many times to be convinced otherwise :lol:

Damn even after watching highlights I hardly remember this game. How we were able to keep it competitive with Jennings at quarterback is nothing short of a miracle. And yet incompetency lost it for us.

This is either the greatest tip that’s ever been given or a sure way to get kicked off the premises haha

Sorry for the late response everybody. All of this is awesome feedback and now I feel like we'll have somewhat of a plan walking in as opposed to just walking in blind.

Winston, you mind posting your phone number and I'll be sure to call you first :lol:

:cheers:

Gonna join you tonight darbour. That is if my wife doesn’t kill me before!

Good to know! That will make my decision a lot easier :lol:

Might be a ridiculous question, but assuming the Chargers sit Gordon another week, would anyone consider starting Justin Jackson over Doug Baldwin at flex? Seattle’s passing game is less than reliable, and I think Jackson will have some opportunities thrown his way given his performance last week. 1pt PPR scoring. Thanks!

That makes sense, thanks for the input

Hey guys, long time lurker of the Money Talk board here. I have a question about how you would go about valuing a partially developed residential property. When underwriting locations for a commercial property, the highest and best use of the property is what's considered from the beginning. Once that's determined, I'm assuming you project out the income the property will accumulate in the future to give you the cash flows you need to determine whether or not to pursue the investment.

So say you own residential property and have been selling lots individually for a number of years. You also occasionally build the home for the individual, but the buyers of the lots have full say in who the contractor will be. If you have x# lots remaining in the development, how would you go about valuing the property? Would it be the individual price of each lot times the number of lots remaining? Could you project cash flows for any fees received from building the homes in the future?

Hopefully this makes some sense. If I'm incorrect in any of my assumptions please enlighten me. I would love to hear the boards thoughts. Thanks.

In dire need of a win this week guys, so any and all advice is much appreciated. I now know the importance of having a guy like Ekeler on my bench behind Gordon and won't be making that mistake again.

1 pt ppr, 12 Team League

Currently I have my lineup set as follows:
QB: Rodgers vs ARI
RB: Johnson @ GB
RB: Michel vs Min
WR: Smith-Schuster vs LAC
WR: Baldwin vs SF
TE: LaCosse @ Cin
Flex: Godwin vs Car

Bench:
RB Gordon @ Pit (Out)
WR Crabtree @ Atlanta
WR Cobb vs Ari
RB Justin Jackson @ Pit
TE: Ricky Seals-Jones
TE: Charles Clay

Clearly my TE and Flex positions are limited. Would you consider replacing Godwin with Justin Jackson at the Flex? And how do you all feel about LaCosse at TE? Again, appreciate the feedback.