maine82
| Favorite team: | LSU  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
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| Number of Posts: | 3320 |
| Registered on: | 8/26/2011 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: GOP retains house by 1 seat or LSU wins cfb playoff: what would you take?
Posted by maine82 on 11/1/18 at 11:16 pm
I’d take the House you dingbat
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re: Mark Levin on Tariffs
Posted by maine82 on 7/25/18 at 9:57 am
Tariffs are an attempt to tax your way to prosperity. If Trump imposes a tariff on a company overseas, that company isn't going to eat the cost, they're going to pass that tariff back onto the consumers. So before, you could buy a $30 t-shirt made in America or a $15 t-shirt made in China, and now you have to spend $30.
So we've already effectively raised your cost of living. That's indisputable. The question is how many jobs that saves. Fox News Research sent out a tweet over the weekend citing the Center for Automotive Research saying 25% tariffs on foreign autos would cost 715,000 jobs, not create jobs. That's in part because there are auto factories in the South that rely on importing cheaper parts from Mexico, which frees up money to save jobs. They may also find that increased automation is less expensive then hiring new employees, and it's been found by Ball State that 85% of manufacturing jobs were lost to automation. You'll also have companies that need to buy cars which could have less money to hire employees, and dealerships who fire salesmen who suddenly can't sell as many cars. And so on.
The reality is you may save a few jobs at the margins, but you're not creating any and potentially killing them through a ripple effect. Now Trump's strategy is allegedly using tariffs as a short-term tool to force the EU and China to the negotiating table over trade. If that's his plan, then maybe it's worth the short-term pain to get better trade deals, but I'm skeptical that's his end-game given he was praising tariffs on the campaign trail. Imposing tariffs over the long-term is left-wing economics, pure and simple, and it doesn't work.
So we've already effectively raised your cost of living. That's indisputable. The question is how many jobs that saves. Fox News Research sent out a tweet over the weekend citing the Center for Automotive Research saying 25% tariffs on foreign autos would cost 715,000 jobs, not create jobs. That's in part because there are auto factories in the South that rely on importing cheaper parts from Mexico, which frees up money to save jobs. They may also find that increased automation is less expensive then hiring new employees, and it's been found by Ball State that 85% of manufacturing jobs were lost to automation. You'll also have companies that need to buy cars which could have less money to hire employees, and dealerships who fire salesmen who suddenly can't sell as many cars. And so on.
The reality is you may save a few jobs at the margins, but you're not creating any and potentially killing them through a ripple effect. Now Trump's strategy is allegedly using tariffs as a short-term tool to force the EU and China to the negotiating table over trade. If that's his plan, then maybe it's worth the short-term pain to get better trade deals, but I'm skeptical that's his end-game given he was praising tariffs on the campaign trail. Imposing tariffs over the long-term is left-wing economics, pure and simple, and it doesn't work.
re: A government "Go Fund Me" account for the Wall
Posted by maine82 on 7/2/18 at 9:45 am
I think at the very beginning of the Trump Administration, it would have been a good idea to sell commemorative bricks for the wall, because that's when his supporters were most in a lather. But that opportunity has probably now past.
re: Who should be allowed to vote in this country?
Posted by maine82 on 7/2/18 at 9:43 am
I would be OK with expecting people to pass a basic citizenship test and another basic test on the issues of the election. But the reality is given the history of denial of voter rights in America, those things would never pass.
re: Don Lemon on Job Numbers for Blacks: ‘What’s Full Employment Without Full Respect?’
Posted by maine82 on 6/3/18 at 12:48 pm
Reading the Roland Lazenby biography of Michael Jordan, I found this interesting:
Also this:
quote:
The deep sadness the whole family felt at Dawson's passing perhaps reinforced Michael's newly discovered racial anger. He didn't know every detail of his [great-grandfather's] life, but he had only to look at the pain deep in the old man's face to get an idea of how troubled his restless journey had been and of the many senseless barriers he had been forced to endure.
Later that year a girl at school called Michael a "n-----."
"I threw a soda at her," he recalled. "It was a very tough year. I was really rebelling. I considered myself a racist at that time. Basically, I was against all white people.
Jordan was suspended for the incident. But rather than let him spend his days at home, his mother required that he sit in her car in the parking lot of the bank where she worked, so that she could keep an eye on him from the teller's window. That way she could make sure has was doing his schoolwork and staying out of trouble. Michael was furious, and years later the would joke with her that the situation presented an obvious case of child abuse. Yet Deloris got her message across. Over the course of the following months, she talked time and again about the wasted energy of bitterness and racial anger, how destructive they could be to a young boy. It wasn't about forgetting but about forgiving, she said.
It would take more than a year for the message to sink in and the feelings to subside. "The education came from my parents," Jordan recalled. "You have to be able to say, OK, that happened back then. Now let's take it from here and see what happens. It would be very easy to hate people for the rest of your life, and some people have done that. You've got to deal with what's happening now and try to make things better."
Also this:
quote:
Beyond the gifts and involvement, the greatest impact of their parenting came in the constant shaping of the children's attitudes. They preached a constant refrain: Work hard. Achieve. Set goals. Think ahead. Don't be denied. Be considerate. Don't dwell on race.
re: Marco Rubio: “Modernizing” Conservatism
Posted by maine82 on 6/2/18 at 6:43 pm
(No Message)
re: Guess which Republican is non-committal on Trump's CIA Director nominee
Posted by maine82 on 5/7/18 at 1:33 pm
re: GOP to pick up 9 senate seats in November
Posted by maine82 on 5/4/18 at 5:18 pm
I think that's optimistic, given that Republicans have been under-performing in every special election this year, apart from GA-06 where the Democrat was awful.
I think the GOP will lose the House, albeit not by colossal margins. But I think the Dems will pick up 35-45 seats.
In the Senate, the GOP will pick up WV and ND and either IN, MO, or MT. They'll lose AZ and NV. They'll hold TX and TN, though by uncomfortable margins. So they'll gain one seat.
I think the GOP will lose the House, albeit not by colossal margins. But I think the Dems will pick up 35-45 seats.
In the Senate, the GOP will pick up WV and ND and either IN, MO, or MT. They'll lose AZ and NV. They'll hold TX and TN, though by uncomfortable margins. So they'll gain one seat.
re: Spinoff: Who are the best looking female voices on the Left? (Possible NSFW)
Posted by maine82 on 5/3/18 at 4:14 pm
Eboni Williams is attractive.
re: Louisiana is trying to get rid of the death penalty
Posted by maine82 on 4/10/18 at 2:17 pm
It won't happen.
However, the death penalty is practically all but dead in Louisiana because parish governments don't want to pay the fees to move convicts sentenced in their parishes through the process. It's been over 8 year since we last imposed it.
However, the death penalty is practically all but dead in Louisiana because parish governments don't want to pay the fees to move convicts sentenced in their parishes through the process. It's been over 8 year since we last imposed it.
re: Cardinal: Democratic Party ‘Now Slams The Door’ On Catholics
Posted by maine82 on 3/23/18 at 6:09 pm
quote:
A pro-Life Dem just got renominated for Congress in IL, in a district that is heavily pro-Choice. Democratic Governor of Louisiana is pro-Life. Democratic US Senator from PA is Pro-Life. The pro-Life position is a minority position in the Democratic Party but we do have pro-Life elected Dems.
1. Lamb isn't pro-Life. He says he'll vote to support abortion rights in Congress. Given that, his personal opposition to abortion isn't worth anything.
2. Lipinski barely survived a primary challenge, and he was targeted primarily due to his abortion stance.
3. I can literally count on two hands how many Pro-Life Democrats in high office we have. Lipinski, Cuellar and Peterson in the House, Casey, Donnelly and Manchin in the Senate, and John Bel and the Governor of Puerto Rico.
That's 8 out of 260 (counting Angus and Bernie) Governors and Members of Congress. About 3%. Meanwhile one survey said the % of Democrats that are Pro-Life is 22%.
re: If the Poli Board bands together do you think we can get Maxine Waters the Dem nomination?
Posted by maine82 on 3/5/18 at 9:34 am
That would be glorious.
re: What is your stance on this? Jerusalem Embassy
Posted by maine82 on 2/23/18 at 11:33 am
If people want to donate to the federal government for specific projects, it's less money that I have to pay through taxes.
re: So a good guy with a gun didn't save them
Posted by maine82 on 2/23/18 at 10:38 am
So let's not have cops at all.
re: New Quinnipiac poll: 66% support tougher gun laws, highest ever recorded
Posted by maine82 on 2/22/18 at 1:48 pm
quote:
I wonder if the graph below concerns the NRA. Or are they laughing it off?
It's concerning enough that gun rights supporters should devise solutions to address mass shootings that don't involve restricting law-abiding citizens' rights. And they should take that seriously.
But these numbers always spike right after a mass shooting. It's like taking a poll in the wake of 9/11 on whether we should invade Iraq. I bet the numbers were high then too, higher then they normally would be.
re: Watched a little of the CNN Town hall and it changed my mind on the NRA
Posted by maine82 on 2/22/18 at 9:38 am
Signed up for a membership too.
re: Who listens to Alex Jones?
Posted by maine82 on 2/7/18 at 6:59 pm
quote:
Infowars founder and host Alex Jones is “playing a character,” his lawyer argued during a recent custody hearing surrounding his three children.
“He is a performance artist,” Jones's attorney, Randall Wilhite, argued to a Texas judge, according to a report in the Austin American-Statesman.
LINK
re: Dow down 5% in last 4 days of trading
Posted by maine82 on 2/5/18 at 6:54 pm
I'm going to go buy some stocks.
re: Scalise Needs To Run For Governor of LA
Posted by maine82 on 2/2/18 at 9:19 am
If the Republicans lose the House, this could happen.
If they retain it, I think he'll stay. Leadership is a sweet gig.
If they retain it, I think he'll stay. Leadership is a sweet gig.
re: Predict the Electoral results for Trumps 2020 election win
Posted by maine82 on 2/1/18 at 3:37 pm
As it stands now? Trump 270-268.
That can change if he moves forward on immigration and passes a DREAM Act. But I think he loses Arizona and Florida while gaining New Hampshire. Also, according to the Gallup state approval ratings, he's upside down in Texas 39-54. Historically bad for a Republican. I still think Texas would go his way but not by much.
Also depends on who the nominee is.
That can change if he moves forward on immigration and passes a DREAM Act. But I think he loses Arizona and Florida while gaining New Hampshire. Also, according to the Gallup state approval ratings, he's upside down in Texas 39-54. Historically bad for a Republican. I still think Texas would go his way but not by much.
Also depends on who the nominee is.
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