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I think a lot of this is Sark understands what the whole system at Bama really was. “If you have the money, spend it”.

This comment isn’t about paying for play (which NIL certainly favors Texas) as much as staff, experts, player health and nutrition. Saban brought some of the NFL ideas with him and Sark saw what worked at Bama and married it with his own NFL experience.

Sark is an offensive genius, but he also has a hell of an eye for personnel management and then Texas has the resources to pay to either get them or keep them.

Then combine that with his obvious offensive talent and damn good DC that looks like he has no desires to be a HC. The accept that that is almost a bottomless NIL from both alumni and a city without any professional sports options and Texas should be swimming talent.

So yeah, is it likely Texas wins a title? Sure. In the next 5 years? Maybe, just because how CFB is. Do they have a better chance now than any point since Vince You g played for them, absolutely.
My guess is last year’s injury log (playing in ”heathy” in only 3 games last year according to his camp) locked him in as a late round pick. He hasn’t played a season without him missing games to injury, and even though injury list looks random, it’s extensive enough to make it look like he is made of glass.

Now should he transferred for next year or playing in the NFL is an interesting finical choice. Take a $3-4M one year and hope to be healthy all year while burning the long term options associated with only playing at Texas or going to the NFL 4 years with a $1M a year salary?

My guess is that as long as he got drafted, this was the right decision. Better yet, him landing at Miami may get him several years as the #3 and become the cheap #2 clipboard holder and could have a solid career that way (at least financially and also qualify for the NFL pension).

The kid jus couldn’t stay healthy and I think many of the “self sacks” people talk about are tied to trying to protect himself while he was injured or from re-injury.
Maybe we are getting closer to who put people that were not vetted into the Signal chat…
Went to Texas on his only scheduled visit and signed there today...

My guess he knew where he was going before he ever went into the portal.
Part of this is also about identifying that the gold is there and then get into how the current value of the gold in Ft Knox is worth. Right now we value it on the books at around $43 per fine Troy oz. Vs the current market price of north of 3k.

Even staking it a 1k puts it’s worth 25 times greater that what the asset value is on the books.
The problem Z has is that they lack bodies to now reclaim any territory that Russia currently holds. Russia knows this as well and has been using NK and Chinese cannon fodder to keep up the pressure while they roll into the summer recruitment period.

Ukraine gets weaker day by day in this fight, just as Russia does from a global fighting force perspective. The problem is Russia is weakening at a slower rate now (primarily due changes in tactics and getting artillery shells from NK) and the Ukraine is in serious trouble without a heavy dose of American weapons.

The major mistake was Ukraine not signing off on the rare earth deal when they first had the chance. Once that fell through and the US shut down both the flow of weapons and targeting information it has become painfully obvious that the “support” and brotherhood promised by Europe is nothing without the US involvement.
I have to admit it is pretty amazing how both Willis and James’s careers and greater political aspirations are being imploded by their own actions in their personal lives.

It is crazy to think that both went from people being groomed for a spot in the national spotlight to public ridicule in 18 months.
Once charges are filled, what happens to her politically? The issue I see is that these are multiple stacking federal charges that happened in multiple states (hello wire fraud on top of fraud) and so where do they file the charges?

Do they do they limit the charges to her homes outside of NY to remove the circus from NYC or do they file in SDNY just as a gigantic frick you to the NY political machine?

Is she willing to go down with the ship or try and trade something but to get prison time?

Once thru file charges does she resign? How long will she attempt to stay in office and does she use this as a way to duck out if office before the Trump cases complete their appeals?
The funnier is that it is a federal crime that generally falls into the "headshot" category because it is so easy to prove and has a fairly long sentence.

This is essentially what Clay Davis was convicted of in the Wire or what they got the official in Baltimore not too long ago on.

Bigger question is, does she go to jail or admit that the whole Trump prosecution was a purposeful sham with both the Biden administration and the judge in on it.
It was rendered moot when El Salvador eradicated the gang that was supposedly threatening them for "pupusa" protection money.

El Salvador stated that they have been wiped out several years back and as such, the restriction no longer exists to prevent his removal.

And that restriction was put in place prior to MS13 being designated a terrorist organization, and as such the terror designation would supersede the asylum request.

He went from being a "normal" asylum seeker to in essence, a "terrorist" with the designation. At that point he is no longer viable as someone requesting asylum and there are no hardship limitations to his expulsion/deportation.

The "paperwork" error is that he was not deported sooner, and his status was not updated before being put on the plane, not that he shouldn't have ever been removed.
quote:

Do you ever stop to think when Trump does something, "do I want a Dem doing this or to have this power?"


What group of international students will the Dems be revoking of their Visas? So far these have been tied to the nebulous "encouraging other or themselves supporting a designated international terrorist orginzation" language.

What group will the Dems designate as an international terrorist organization? Israel? Russia? If entire nation point of origins could be used that way there would be little to no students from most of the middle east.
It is almost like people did not read the SOS statutes regarding nonlegal citizens and the carve outs for being linked to or encouraging others to support a designated terrorist organization.

People are worried about this being misused by other administrations, but unless they literally designate the state of Israel or the Catholic church or some other conservative-aligned national organization a terrorist entity, it won't happen.

For some odd reason, this seems to only apply to organizations that those on the left seem to align with.
Slapping China with tariffs alone doesn't cause the level of panic to get the rest of the world to be willing to choose the US vs China. Instead, it would be to stay out of the fight and let them sort it out.

Now, by putting huge tariffs globally the rest of the world saw the "stick" of what happens by the thought of losing the US market and it was a stark reminder that though cheap Chinese goods are nice, China doesnt really buy anything from anyone else and losing the US market is a much bigger hit than the idea of limiting purchases from China in comparison to India or say Vietnam.

Essentially, lots of people caught a lot of stray financially, to corner China.
Let me tell you a story... What if all is this is just to isolate China and anything else we get out of this is just killing two birds with one stone?

What if the entire point of the massive reciprocal tariffs was to get China to do something so extreme that they are now committed to it regardless of what it will cost them long-term?

What if the entire point of this was to then destroy the narrative that tariffs shouldn't be used and instead to normalize the idea that yes, the rest of the world has been ripping the US off and now balancing the trade deals are needed?

What if countries like South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and Vietnam all jump to the front of the line on redoing their trade deals and all normalize the language that further isolates China as a trading partner?

What if now since the rest of the world has seen the "stick" and teh carrot, one of the standard sets of terms will be limiting China's influence via pass-through and other trade measures of all of these new trade deals, just like SK, Japan, Taiwan, and V?

What if it was known that the three-pronged response for China would be to increase their tariffs, dump T-Bills, and use that money to inflate the Chinese stock market?

China just sold off their TBills and dumped a ton of hard currency into their own market via their plunge protection program and set a tariff so high that the rest of the world won't question the fact that the US won't remove their new tariffs. Now China has a market that still has massive tariffs on it, less TBills to manipulate the currency markets with and a global market that is more afraid of the "stick" the US carries now that they have seen what happens when it is used and will be much more leery of continued Chinese investment.

What if I told you this is how you can "win" economic warfare with China by isolating them to the point that their already fragile economy may collapse while lessening the potential for a global financial contagion event?

If you read the opinion, she only joined with the dissent for part 2 and 3. So she did not disagree with if Trump had the power to do so or the fact that this was a mistake to hear this case in D.C. due to jurisdiction, only that how the Supreme Court in essence neutered the judge before it had a chance to play through the process and the fact that this case, not one with less conflict opting issues, is being used to define how the AEA works.

I don’t necessarily agree with her on 2, but I can agree to a point on 3. It reads like the real
Issue here is how advisoriol the executive and judicial were in this case and it should have had more time to process through the system vs. how it was handled.

On that point, my answer is that so to their inaction there is now legislation working it’s way through the system to attempt to neuter the power of federal district court judges and a censure measure of the judge in question being debated. If they would have acted earlier none of this would have been and issue and now the judiciary is not likely going to see some sort of reprisal from the legislature.

I still believe she chickened out and should have gone 6-3 in main and dissented in part, but it still the same result. Most likely she kept it the way she did so Robert’s could write a more watered down majority than a 5-4 written by Alito or Thomas.
The issue with Europe is the same issue with Canada. They put up barriers to entry and then also massively subsidize industries that are exporters to the US.

Doing a 100% free trade deal will only balance the playing field so much if the other aspects aren't also negotiated. Where things diverge between Europe and Canada is that Europe does not have the massive set of pass-through Chinese goods that Canada does.

Getting the European deal should be easier on paper, but their massive cultural reliance on governmental partnership/subsidies will make the negotiations drag on for a while.
We have been artificially inflating both the GDP and stock market since COVID and now it is time to pay the piper.

We have been due for a correction for some time and the tariff announcement was just the inevitable catalyst. If it was the tariff announcements last week it would have been some other event that would have caused this expected correction. What is funny is that by having this correction tied to tariffs and free trade all it dies us strengthens the Trump economic policy argument instead of having the bubble pop at a later date….

We are having a causation problem in our view of this. Right now people are saying “look, the tariffs crashed the market” even though they have not technically even been implemented. The real issue is the underlying sentiment in the market has been bad for a long time but now with the tariffs people have a “tangible” reason to fear and a real boogeyman to help justify their sell offs.