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More from Politico on the Russian mobilization efforts -
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In March 2026, Russian media reported the defense ministry planned to recruit some 80,000 people, mostly students, into its newly created “Unmanned Systems Forces.” The initiative was accompanied by a mass propaganda campaign and pressure on universities.
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But by July, only 8,000 people had been recruited — roughly 10 percent of the target.

This attempt to address the recruitment shortage by targeting students was doomed to fail, according to Tabalov. “Historically, male students enter universities to avoid the army, not to join it,” he said.
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Another strategy emerged later in June after videos of mass raids in Penza flooded social media, one of the poorest cities in European Russia. They showed police and military officers, sometimes accompanied by men in balaclavas, appearing to stop civilian men at checkpoints, on the street and on public transport, loading them into minibusses and taking them to military enlistment offices where some were then forced to sign contracts to fight in the war.
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But “this initiative could backfire on authorities,” said Tabalov again. “Citizens in Penza have already begun to self-organize — forming self-defense squads — and that, frankly, amounts to a challenge to state power.” In August, Penza blogger Stanislav Morozov created a group that garnered around 1,500 members, assisting men facing detention and coercion.
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Bashmakovo residents also reportedly formed a self-defense squad to patrol the area, filming “recruiters,” recording their license plates and trying to identify those concealing their identities.


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A familiar exodus is taking place on Russia’s southern border with Georgia. More than 113,000 Russians left their country [to Georgia] last week via the so-called Upper Lars checkpoint — a spike in movement that reflects growing fears that the Kremlin is poised to announce a new mobilization effort.
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In September 2022, when President Vladimir Putin launched a partial military mobilization Georgia was one of the main destinations for those looking to flee. As one of the few Eastern European border countries allowing visa-free entry to Russian citizens, it had received more than 100,000 Russians within a week.



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Good article. This war has evolved from a military battlefield to a logistical battlefield.
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The summer of 2026 has crystallized what many of us saw coming. The conflict has become a total war of logistics. Moscow keeps hammering Ukrainian ports, warehouses, and distribution hubs with ballistic missiles that our limited Patriots cannot fully stop. Ukraine has responded with a systematic asymmetric campaign that is already exposing Russia’s economic fragility.
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The asymmetry in vulnerability is glaring. Russian logistics sprawl across a giant territory with long supply legs, hyper-centralized mega-hubs, and extreme dependence on a handful of fulfillment centers. Hit one, and the ripple effects cascade for months. Ukrainian logistics are more compact, oriented toward EU borders, with shorter internal routes and the ability to reroute cargo westward. We also receive direct partner support that Moscow cannot match.Their economy must absorb these blows on its own balance sheet. Ours, while battered, still draws on external [EU] financing that keeps basic functionality alive.
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Zaluzhnyi was right again. The front has become a positional meat grinder where any large-scale movement is suicidal, thanks to the drone saturation both sides now operate. The real war has therefore shifted to the rear. The real question is whose logistics collapse first. Moscow is trying to choke our export revenue and internal distribution to erode civilian morale and force political concessions. We are carving out chunks of their wartime economy, forcing them to divert resources to endless fire-fighting and reconstruction of hyper-centralized nodes that cannot be easily hidden or dispersed.
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Every billion dollars we rip out of their oil, logistics, and e-commerce sectors is a billion not available for artillery shells, glide bombs, or new mobilization waves.
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The strategic truth is simple. A Russia whose economy is forced to spend its own money rebuilding shattered supply chains is a Russia less able to sustain the attrition battle. A Ukraine that keeps its export arteries partially open through partner-supported overland routes and creative rerouting maintains the financial baseline needed to fight. The side that rebuilds its logistical architecture faster while degrading the opponent's will dictate the next phase.

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Putin required this visit three days after the CIA Director visited Moscow. This tells us all we need to know about Putin's opinion on any CIA warning and his real intentions.

Beijing wants Belarus as a client state within the European logistical orbit, so will not agree to Putin's plans. What will Putin do about it?
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Lukashenko was dragged to Moscow for an emergency meeting with Putin. Right after, watch if he suddenly flies to Beijing for “consultations.”

This comes as Russia ramps up strikes on Kyiv, after the CIA Director’s Moscow visit, while Belarus frantically builds a new military base and roads right on Ukraine’s border. Putin wants Belarusian territory for attacks on Ukraine and the Baltics.

Lukashenko won’t greenlight it unless China gives the nod. Beijing hasn’t, so the dictator is left doing what he does best: running his mouth.

In the leaked video he openly calls Ukraine “our shared problem” with Russia. No friends in Beijing, just fellow travelers watching Moscow bleed.
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Another ship, a container vessel, towed into a Turkish port after being hit.
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The vessel had been sailing from Gemlik, Turkey, to Novorossiysk when it was struck. Fires broke out in the accommodation and engine-room areas and later spread to containers on deck.

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Ro-Ro vessels in the Russian service have been identified as high priority targets. Indefensible high priority targets.
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Four Ro-Ro ships have been struck in six days: NADEZHDA, URAL, LIDER BORDO MAVI, and now L KOCATEPE. Even with their ridiculous anti-drone cage around the bridge, Russian-linked ships keep burning.

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More on this attack. Another Ozon warehouse may have been hit as well.

Edited to add:
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Ozon warehouse was also hit, but, as the Russians write, the fire was quickly extinguished there.


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DNS / X5 is another retailing group similar to Wildberries / Ozon, but concentrating on food and home renovation supplies.

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X5 Retail Group NV is Russia's one of the leading retailers. As of FY2021, the Group operated a retail chain of 19,121 proximity stores, supermarkets, hypermarkets, hard discounters, online hypermarket stores, and dark kitchens under the brand names Perekrestok, Pyaterochka, Karusel, Perekrestok Vprok, Chizhik, and Mnogo Lososya (each representing separate format) in major population centers in Russia, including Moscow, St. Petersburg, Nizhniy Novgorod, Rostovon-Don, Kazan, Samara, Lipetsk, Chelyabinsk, Perm, Ekaterinburg. X5 also operates its distribution centers in the Central Federal region, Volga Federal region, Ural Federal region, North-Western Federal region, and Siberian Federal region across Russia.


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This happens now, after Federov turned down similar requests to help Zelensky in the same role. A lot of Ukainians are now understanding why zelensky fired this guy— he seems very focused on self-promotion, instead of on what's best for the country.
It seems we'll never find out what the issue was between Federov and Zelensky. It may be that Federov is a young Dudley Do-right in a world of ethically grey politicians in Kyiv and demanded the reassignment of many without absolute proof of wrong doing.

Well, one thing for sure, if Federov is allergic to bent politicians in the defense industry, the Italians will cure him of that.
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Much was made of the Wildberries campaign. Haven't seen much about this:
A weak comparison even by your standards. Once again, the point sailed over your head.

Unlike food storage, Wildberries represented not only close to a trillion Rubles of the Russian economy, but a direct contributor of hundreds of billions of Rubles to the Kremlin war effort. In addition, it was a direct logistics hub for imported Chinese war materiel.
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[Wildberries majority owner] Suleiman Kerimov steps up like the eager lapdog he is and promises 100 billion rubles to the Kremlin's war effort.

Today, those same structures own the logistics backbone that moves Chinese components for the Russian war machine. They finance most of the sellers through credit. And they sit on a debt pile that The Bell and Russian analysts put north of 1.3 trillion rubles,
Another major grab by the Kremlin mafia.
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An analysis of court data bases carried out by the independent Russian news outlet Verstka has found that at least 12 companies and holdings – out of 17 which were facing proceedings – were fined for failing to protect their facilities against drone attacks.
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Lawyers argue that the criteria for what counts as adequate protection — and who decides — remain vague, meaning that fines for inadequate anti-drone measures could later be used to justify a state takeover of private enterprises.
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This could in effect amount to a new, uncompensated redistribution of property, with the state framing it as protection while stripping owners of control.
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Vyshegorodtsev says: "That's where the decree comes from: we will protect you and provide funds for restoration, but now it will be ours, without compensation, without guarantees of return, without control over management decisions."
They're not letting this go.

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A number of EU countries will call on the bloc to resume work on using frozen Russian assets for Ukraine, — FT Poland, Sweden, the Netherlands and Spain plan to appeal to the European Commission to resume work on the mechanism for using frozen Russian assets to finance Ukraine's needs.

Today, these countries are to send a corresponding letter to Brussels, in which the European Commission will be invited to study options under which the risks from using these assets would be proportionally distributed among all EU countries.

Previously, the idea of ??using frozen assets faced active opposition from Belgium, whose Euroclear depository holds more than €200 billion of Russian assets.

Belgium fears that Russia could file a lawsuit in court and win it, which would lead to Belgium being held responsible specifically for the decision to seize these assets.
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Another video from Wednesday's car bomb attack in St. Petersburg. Victim was an officer in the Air Defense and Missile unit responsible for production of AD and ballistic missiles.

Update:
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Update on the St. Petersburg car bombing. A 24-year-old woman planted the bomb, local media report. She was reportedly contacted months ago by unknown individuals who allegedly posed as Ukrainian Armed Forces representatives.

They supposedly talked her into placing an IED under the car. She did it in Shushary on August 26 evening, then flew to Turkey from Pulkovo at 5am on August 27.

Russian security services claim they identified her and asked Turkish counterparts to detain her. She had allegedly already landed in Chisinau by then.


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Since last October, the Yaroslavl Refinery has been hit ten times and the connected pumping station / line dispatch and production sites six times.

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Yaroslavl.
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Russia Was Forced to Cut Spending After Running Out of Cash
Good article. The squeeze started some time ago and cannot be remedied without serious sanction relief. The REPO shell game has ended due to the loss of primary funding in banks. Now account withdrawals are accelerating, putting even more pressure on the banks to close to stop further withdrawals.

It seems the only two sources of funding for Putin right now are what sanctioned cargos are getting sold and the 'donations' from the oligarchs. Not a solid financial plan in any universe.
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Austerity measures in place since April have resulted in 35% cuts in funding for budgetary areas outside spending on the war, salaries for public sector workers and the military, social programs, support for regional authorities and government debt servicing. The government also instructed federal agencies to prepare for a 15% reduction in staffing and to postpone all non-essential spending, the people said.
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The budget deficit has surged to 6.5 trillion rubles ($77.2 billion), or 2.8% of Russia’s gross domestic product, well above the 1.6% target set for 2026 in the budget law.
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According to the ministry’s latest internal projections, the deficit is unlikely to narrow by year-end and could widen further. The shortfall is projected at 3.2% to 3.8% of GDP by 2027, according to the people.
When you go from a 1.6% GDP deficit to 3.8% in less than two years, inflation will be unstoppable and consumer/business confidence in the economy at any level will be dead.

The question will be: What will the Chinese do about it? Will they extend further substantial support to a regime that is hopelessly bankrupt with no hope of recovery? They can't do this forever, so at some point we will see meetings between the Chinese and Western governments as to how to end this with minimal disruption to the world economy.

So in a larger sense, we can predict what happens in Russia by watching the Chinese.
The Russians thinking they can win this war on the ground is fantasy. But that's where they've been since the very start. So if Russia makes a major attack in the north, even they must know it can't succeed militarily. But they could be looking at two other factors that could be to their advantage.

First, as a great deal of logistics supporting the flank of this campaign would have to be directed through Belarus, it would force the Ukrainians to attack targets in that country. Would that force Minsk to finally come into this war in direct support of Russia? Well, that would be the hope.

More importantly, it would cause another long-term manpower drain on the Ukrainians. This is where Russia has a significant advantage and they know it. In a war of attrition, the longer it lasts the better Russia's chances. They still truly believe that Ukraine's European supporters will finally tire of this war and start to separate themselves from Kyiv. Not a good bet at all, but that's clearly their goal. If a northern front will accelerate this plan, then it will get more than serious consideration.

Of course, the limiting factor on any long term plans will be the state of the Russian economy. That is getting far worse far faster than any projected collapse of Ukrainian manpower or EU support. So forget about EU support, just think of what happens when they can no longer pay the Chinese.

Here is Clement Molin's map of defense lines on the northern area from last May. Part of a long thread updating the new types of defensive lines built with drone warfare in mind.

This may not show the complete Kiev Reservoir-to-Sumy line as it was only to start in April.
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