Favorite team:LSU 
Location:Definitely NOT an admin
Biography:I'm 5'2 and 300lbs of sexytime
Interests:Poodles and Jello (but not always together)
Occupation:Being THAT guy...
Number of Posts:51488
Registered on:10/25/2008
Online Status:Not Online

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[quote]Interestingly Morvant left the door open. Wish he had just ruled the correct way to begin with. Lost a little respect for him over that decision.[/quote] I read it more as "go back and re-read what the definition of '[i]minimal[/i]' means."...
This part was nice... [quote]No voter or elector residing or owning land in the proposed area of incorporation objected to the petition. Thus, one can reasonably conclude they found the plan adequate. Only those persons have a real and actual interest in that claim. Only they can claim insufficie...
This part was nice... [quote]No voter or elector residing or owning land in the proposed area of incorporation objected to the petition. Thus, one can reasonably conclude they found the plan adequate. Only those persons have a real and actual interest in that claim. Only they can claim insufficie...
[quote] new federal buildings and those undergoing major renovations[/quote] Translation - Any new federal buildings will be preceded with fricktons of green-waving fanfare while older buildings will never get "major" renovations (or at least they will not be described as such)....

re: Pax Dei - Alpha Testing starts soon

Posted by Bard on 4/26/24 at 9:36 am
I got into Alpha 2 this week (the "wilderness alpha"), it's been an interesting time. The game, at least thus far (it's still in alpha, after all) is much more of a hobby-style game than "I'm just looking to kill a few minutes". There's definitely combat (PVE and PVP), dungeons, crafting and...

re: "No, I'm serious. Not a joke."

Posted by Bard on 4/26/24 at 9:14 am
[link=(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eeC2MEURw4&ab_channel=AlArabiyaEnglish)]Pause...[/link]...
[quote]I think they are cutting at least once before Nov to give JB a jolt[/quote] Yeah, that's a worry I mentioned in a couple of posts earlier this week. Considering how hard Jerome has been trying to thread that "soft landing" needle, I'm concerned he's going to use the GDP drop as a foundati...
[quote]I have been saying this.[/quote] You and I both. I just went back looking over old MT and Poli posts for when I first started calling it an inevitability, but the history seems to go back only to last Fall when searching for "soft landing" or even just "landing" and I know I was saying it...

re: 2 year inverted yield curve

Posted by Bard on 4/26/24 at 8:24 am
[quote]Would y’all say now is a risky time to switch jobs to O&G where the risk is recession and layoff due to low seniority vs more security at current job due to higher seniority?[/quote] I would say it's risky, yes. PCE for March came in higher than expectations (meaning it has gone up ever...
[quote]Core PCE inflation was 2.8%, above expectations of 2.6%. We now have CPI, PPI, and PCE inflation rising for 2 straight months. Seems like rate cuts are off the menu[/quote] JPow has spent this year making every positive signal he could reasonably (and sometimes unreasonably) make in ...
[quote]I didn't read anything about Democrats or Jew Haters. [/quote] The current crop of protestors, those supporting Hamas, are supporting antisemitism (whether intentionally or not). Your inability to grasp the logical progression between that and Stout's posts is... unsurprising....
Not surprising. He doesn't live there so he probably just lost it due to being so unfamiliar with the state....
[quote]Won’t just the possibility of this drive a lot of selling in 2024?[/quote] No. One of the quickest ways to lose votes is to tell people you are going to raise taxes if you are (re)elected. There are those on the Left who will knee-jerk assume you mean "only on the rich" but the DNC has p...

re: Are we about to hit stagflation?

Posted by Bard on 4/25/24 at 1:41 pm
[quote]Noting that 74% of respondents in a recent poll said they felt inflation in the “past year” was going in the wrong direction, author Greg Ip noted flatly “it’s not true,” adding: I’m not stating an opinion. This isn’t something on which reasonable people can disagree. If hard economic data...
No reports from the LSU protests? :dunno:...

re: Are we about to hit stagflation?

Posted by Bard on 4/25/24 at 12:06 pm
[quote]A lot of places reporting it[/quote] That's quarterly data, I was thinking you were talking about monthly. Carry on. :thup:...

re: Are we about to hit stagflation?

Posted by Bard on 4/25/24 at 12:04 pm
[quote]It should be because even Trump's spending pre-Covid was at a level greater than Obama's. [/quote] False. From FY2009-FY2012 we had $1T+ annual deficits. None of Trump's pre-COVID deficits were even $1T (although 2019 got close). [link=(https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historical...
[quote]Someone ELI5 and help me out here.[/quote] The easy part is: taxing unrealized gains is well outside the scope of the 16th Amendment (per SCOTUS precedent and common sense). As such, if Congress passed such a bill and the President signed it into law, it would get stayed within 1 second o...

re: Are we about to hit stagflation?

Posted by Bard on 4/25/24 at 11:09 am
Where is this coming from? PCE doesn't get released until tomorrow....

re: Soltamayor is awful

Posted by Bard on 4/25/24 at 10:56 am
[quote]I cant differentiate between Sotomayor and Kagan. Who is speaking now Sotomayor?[/quote] Does it sound thoughtful and goes into the weeds? That's Kagan. Does it sound like the person is trying to sound confident while flailing about in the dark for a light switch they aren't sure even ...