RoyalWe

Twerking at halftime while they play neck. It's comin'.

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There is no frame to move.

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There is always a frame to move.

Since Scott would do it much better than I would, I asked ChatGPT to pretend to be Scott Adams and give us what his analysis might be given his published works and prior political commentary.

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Everyone is analyzing Trump's post like it's an economics paper.

Wrong filter.

Trump starts at the extreme, creates the anchor, and makes everyone argue inside his frame.

Yesterday: Should the Fed raise rates?

Today: Should rates be lower, can Trump pressure the Fed, and what leverage does he have?

That doesn't mean the literal threat is good policy or that he'll carry it out.

The real question is whether it moves anyone.

If the Fed holds instead of hikes, Trump claims movement. If rates later fall, he claims a win.

The only real problem is credibility.

So don't ask, "Would he really stop trading with Mexico?"

Ask, "Did he move the frame, or make a threat nobody believes?"

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Maybe we can get the students to have another twerkfest at halftime?

I’m not sure anyone paying the fine matters if the administration targets the band staff.

I don't know if it's Labor Day weekend or something else, but the most of the FBN headliners are off. The second string is on today.

I've been saying this for years. If you want to vote, become productive and pay for the society we have.

I'm retired and take more risk than most people, so I'm probably not the one to ask. Having said that, yes, I would start moving from whatever your current strategy is to your new strategy within 3 to 5 years of retirement.

If you want my gut, I'm less optimistic in the short-term (inflation -> Fed raising rates; Iran; government spending). Long-term I believe the market will rise (AI, market rising with inflation) -- unless the delta between the haves and have nots results in the second American Revolution.

I generally have funds set aside to take advantage of dips. A prolonged down market can diminish those reserves as I continue to buy. If you don't want to risk losing significant ground and having to work longer than you planned, then invest accordingly.

There are several new managed bond funds that are showing above average returns for their market segment.

What is your retirement strategy (ignoring a volatile market)?

Who exactly are you calling cowardly--the Iranian government for abandoning an unsuccessful policy, or ordinary Iranians for not wanting to be impoverished indefinitely on their government's behalf?

I am talking about using economic pressure to make the government stop interfering with passage through the Strait of Hormuz. You have transformed that limited policy concession into the Iranian people surrendering their country, then invoked "better red than dead." Those are not remotely the same thing.

The government makes the decision. The citizenry pays most of the price for its supposed courage.

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Would you give into a foreign nation for the same reason?

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No. I would give in because I'm dominated economically and the quality of life for me and my countrymen will continue to decline rapidly with no hope of recovery without capitulation.