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re: The HGMF VII Finale. . .

Posted on 12/31/19 at 8:06 pm to
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14180 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 8:06 pm to
I don’t think I have any choice other than to play my last lock tomorrow. WG and SICEM have both of theirs out for tomorrow and I won’t catch you with straight picks because you’re going to pull ahead tonight.
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 12/31/19 at 10:05 pm to



THRU THE EVE

+26 Jefferson

+22 SquatchDawg

+16 WGDawg

+14 SICEM




LINK.........................
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 8:54 am to
If I play one lock right, I think I can almost make it impossible for WG and SicEm to come back.

Your choice would then be to make same lock as me to preserve a 4 point gap...or hope my lock fails and ride a 5 point turbo boost into 1 shot lead.Of course, if it didn’t fail, you’d be 9 points back though

Also remember that NY6 games are +3. This thing ain’t over. HGMF’ers
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11585 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 9:14 am to
My picks are failing miserably, but I’m holding out some hope. Looking to make an epic comeback from the brink of death.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14180 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 9:15 am to
No prize for second place!

I was going to try and game my picks but have instead decided to go with my gut and let the chips fall where they may. You can match my picks and guarantee you beat me....but would risk being overtaken by SICEM or WG.

I’m in a happy place on this..the final day of HGMF’s combat...possibly forever.

Gentlemen...I salute you...and good luck.
This post was edited on 1/1/20 at 9:27 am
Posted by tween the hedges
Member since Feb 2012
20245 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 9:45 am to
I remember when Chris had a slight lead and made his picks with his gut on the final day. If he edited then with ours he could have guaranteed a win but chose to let it ride. He emerged as champ and I got one of my runner ups
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14180 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 9:56 am to
I have to put more at risk to have a chance in catching JD...but the negatives associated with that could blow up in my face. But as I said...no award for second place.
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 10:18 am to
It's like you said...because of the emergency locks, there's no way I can clinch.

So the decision is whether to game the picks to get the best possible odds against whats been picked. Or to just stick with my gut and let it ride.

I don't know.

Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14180 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 10:20 am to
You could probably avoid anything with a negative aspect and watch the rest of us blow ourselves up.

Unless somebody hits lucky.....
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86467 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 10:24 am to
I need to hit reeeeal lucky to have a shot.
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 10:36 am to



NEW YEAR'S DAY
Alabama - OVER [LOCK]
Auburn
Oregon
Georgia


LINK........................
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 10:42 am to
Edit: Phew. nevermind. The math still works
This post was edited on 1/1/20 at 10:54 am
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 10:56 am to
Good luck fellas. It's been fun
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86467 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 11:02 am to
I threw some over unders against the wall since I'm desperate. Pretty cunning of Jefferson to not release his picks til last minute so people can't pick the other way
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14180 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 11:03 am to
Same here.

It looks like my path is for a Wis win AND to hit both OVERS in that and the UGA game. I’ll finish the Games pulling for UGA to run away with it. As it should be.

I was going to flip my AL pick and put the lock on UGA to get some separation but couldn’t bring myself to pick against Saban after a loss and with a month to prepare.
Posted by S1C EM
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2007
11585 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 11:17 am to
Jeff, you got my switch to Baylor, yes?
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 11:42 am to
Yep. Ive got you with...


Alabama [LOCK]
Auburn
Wisconsin [LOCK]
Baylor

Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 11:47 am to
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86467 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 2:05 pm to
All morning I've been pulling quietly foe bama and Auburn bc I really want to win the games, but after this pretty dn surprising first half combined with my trailing big time, frick it I hope both teams get stomped. I'm shocked bama isn't up by at least 17.
Posted by Jefferson Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
31961 posts
Posted on 1/1/20 at 3:12 pm to
Auburn going down in flames. Ha ha

Neither game really matters HGMFwise though since we all picked Bama and Aubs. But we do need the Over in the citrus
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