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re: 3, 4, 5 star

Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:43 am to
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
22317 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:43 am to
Fair point. However there is definite evidence that the higher the average star rating is on your team, the better.

Not saying 3 stars that turn into super stars is an outlier but you do want 4 and 5 stars in general.
Posted by European Man Satchel
Member since Jul 2023
234 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 11:51 am to
Saying that "there are way more 3 stars in the NFL than 5 stars" is like saying "there are way more white people shot and killed by police than black people."

While it's true that there are way more 3 stars in the NFL than 5 stars and also way more white people shot and killed by police than black people from a total frequency standpoint, from a relative frequency standpoint it's not true.
Posted by MOJO_ERASER
Tulsa Oklahoma
Member since Jun 2017
5839 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 12:01 pm to
Wrong history has proven more 5 stars pan out than 3 …..
Posted by Ptins944
Member since Jan 2019
2012 posts
Posted on 7/19/23 at 11:22 am to
The ratings services put too much value on measurables and not enough on development potential.

ON3 & 247 show 14.5 of the Top 50 Nat'l players as WR or Ath, 9 of 50 as DL, and ZERO Interior OL and 1.5 OT making the Top 50.

WR & Ath are probably the most plug-n-play positions from HS to college, and probably have the highest number of players, but that doesn't make them the best, or most valuable players.

DL are a premium for the opposite reason, large & athletic HS juniors are few and far between.

OT are born that way. Tall, thick & wide, long arms & quick feet. You can't teach that.

IOL requires the most development and is the hardest position to project. The success rate of IOL is probably the lowest for this position, but that doesn't mean nobody is good enough to be highly ranked, given that every team needs 15ish OL, whether they are any good or not.

A skinny fast kid can start day 1, while an OL may not even start til year 3. That doesn't necessarily make the skinny kid a more valuable player.

Posted by ExpoTiger
Member since Jul 2014
7018 posts
Posted on 7/20/23 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Reality is the true judge.


No. Time is the true judge.
Posted by ManBearSharkReb
Member since Dec 2018
4672 posts
Posted on 7/20/23 at 1:55 pm to
That makes a ton of sense.

Ole Miss has a player who was:
Unanimous three-star prospect
Rated #67 edge defender by 247 Composite and the #112 player in Florida.

With these stats:
Two-year varsity career
209 tackles (72 solo)
52.0 sacks
53.0 tackles for loss
86 quarterback hurries
7 forced fumbles
7 fumble recoveries
2 interceptions
1 interception return TD

He was the 5A Palm Beach County (Miami) player of the year and he’s only a 3 star even with 52 sacks in 2 seasons lol.

Deejay Holmes
This post was edited on 7/20/23 at 1:57 pm
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