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re: Week 10 SEC Bowl Projections
Posted on 10/27/13 at 1:56 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Posted on 10/27/13 at 1:56 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
If Auburns only other loss is a close loss to Alabama, I could see them sneaking in to the Sugar Bowl.
We really need JFF to lose again.
1
Posted on 10/27/13 at 1:56 pm to lsutothetop
right now, Sugar picks Auburn over Mizzou
Posted on 10/27/13 at 1:57 pm to AllBamaDoesIsWin
If we have to play in the Liberty Bowl I'm gonna kill myself
Posted on 10/27/13 at 1:58 pm to lsutothetop
BCS National Championship: Alabama (13-0)
Sugar Bowl: TAMU (10-2)
Capital One Bowl: Auburn (10-2)
Outback Bowl: South Carolina (10-3)
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (9-3)
Chick-Fil-A Bowl: Mizzou (9-3)
Gator Bowl: LSU (8-4)
Music City Bowl: Vandy (8-4)
Liberty Bowl: UGA (7-5)
Sugar Bowl: TAMU (10-2)
Capital One Bowl: Auburn (10-2)
Outback Bowl: South Carolina (10-3)
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (9-3)
Chick-Fil-A Bowl: Mizzou (9-3)
Gator Bowl: LSU (8-4)
Music City Bowl: Vandy (8-4)
Liberty Bowl: UGA (7-5)
This post was edited on 10/27/13 at 2:09 pm
Posted on 10/27/13 at 1:59 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
If Auburns only other loss is a close loss to Alabama, I could see them sneaking in to the Sugar Bowl.
Same here, I just don't know how close it'll be. I get the sense Alabama will dominate the game statistically, but that Auburn will end up losing by only 10-14 pts anyway.
Both teams will have the same quality wins (basically just Texas A&M and Ole Miss) and similar losses (similar losses to Alabama, a loss to a solid LSU team vs one to a solid South Carolina team). I think the Sugar Bowl still grabs Missouri there but Auburn would not be surprising (and if Missouri did drop another game, say to A&M, then they'd go Capital One if they lost the SECCG).
Posted on 10/27/13 at 1:59 pm to lsutothetop
Posted this in the Sugar Bowl thread; but it's relevant here too.
Just one guy's opinion
Just one guy's opinion
quote:
The only change from last week's breakdown: Missouri obviously looks less like a Sugar Bowl team. The Tigers would likely still make it in with two losses, but now that they have one loss already, the rest of that schedule looks much stickier: Tennessee, at Kentucky, at Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and potentially vs. Alabama.
Which could set up a nice battle for the SEC's second BCS spot, between Auburn, Missouri, LSU, South Carolina, and Texas A&M. And if they all finish with two or three losses, I think the answer's simple: nobody's passing up Johnny Manziel's last college game. If the Aggies knock off LSU in Baton Rouge and otherwise remain clean, the Sugar seems like a sure bet, but I think even a 9-3 A&M will be the pick, so long as Missouri loses again.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:01 pm to Wanderin Reb
quote:
BCS National Championship: Alabama (13-0)
Sugar Bowl: TAMU (10-2)
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (9-3)
Chick-Fil-A Bowl: Mizzou (9-3)
Gator Bowl: LSU (9-3)
Numbers are a little off; for A&M, Alabama and Ole Miss to win out, Missouri and LSU would each need to finish 8-4. Also Carolina would be 10-3.
If I assume those changes... that would suck
but seems valid to me. It's crazy how slim the margin of error will be this year
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:03 pm to lsutothetop
BCS National Championship: Bama (13-0)
Sugar Bowl: Carolina (10-2)
Capital One Bowl: Mizzou (11-2)
Outback Bowl: Auburn (10-2)
Cotton Bowl: LSU (9-3)
Chik-fil-A Bowl: A&M (9-3)
Gator Bowl: UGA (8-4)
Liberty Bowl: Ole Miss (8-4)
Compass Bowl: Florida (6-6)
AdvoCare V100 Bowl: Vandy (6-6)
What about the Music City Bowl? I'll put UT (6-6) in that.
Sugar Bowl: Carolina (10-2)
Capital One Bowl: Mizzou (11-2)
Outback Bowl: Auburn (10-2)
Cotton Bowl: LSU (9-3)
Chik-fil-A Bowl: A&M (9-3)
Gator Bowl: UGA (8-4)
Liberty Bowl: Ole Miss (8-4)
Compass Bowl: Florida (6-6)
AdvoCare V100 Bowl: Vandy (6-6)
What about the Music City Bowl? I'll put UT (6-6) in that.
This post was edited on 10/27/13 at 2:05 pm
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:04 pm to EKG
This is what I was thinking. I think TAMU wins out, Mizzou loses two more, and Auburn loses to Bama. At that point, the Sugar will take TAMU. It's JFF.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:05 pm to EKG
I could be wrong but I don't think Manziel has that much appeal. This year, at least, it's more that A&M's offense-centric build makes for good TV. That would have mattered a lot (and did) last year when their competition in the bowl selection process (South Carolina, LSU) was defensive-oriented (and Manziel being a recent Heisman winner and bursting onto the scene helped). This year, though? Competition (Auburn, LSU, Missouri) is more offense-oriented and Manziel's relatively old news.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:05 pm to lsutothetop
Yeah I noticed the LSU one and changed it. Mizzou would still be 9-3, though, right? Losses to USC, OM, and TAMU.
USC would be 10-3, you're right. I'll fix it.
And yeah, I have no clue how it will play out, this is just what I would personally like to see. Hahaha
USC would be 10-3, you're right. I'll fix it.
And yeah, I have no clue how it will play out, this is just what I would personally like to see. Hahaha
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:05 pm to Wanderin Reb
A&M wins out against LSU and Mizzou?
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:05 pm to lsutothetop
where the frick is the compass bowl?
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:06 pm to tween the hedges
Birmingham.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:06 pm to lsutothetop
I don't necessarily agree or disagree.
Just sharing, since I'd just read the article.
Time will tell.
But what a season, huh?
Just sharing, since I'd just read the article.
Time will tell.
But what a season, huh?
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:07 pm to DawgFanDave
Yes.
TAMU wins a shootout with Mizzou. You of all people should know Mizzou is good, but not great. Their ranking has been inflated by beating really bad/injured UF and UGA.
TAMU can beat LSU. Or LSU can beat TAMU. Either outcome is just as likely as the other. If our gimpy-arse defense can hold LSU to 24 points then TAMU's can do enough to win the game, IMO.
TAMU wins a shootout with Mizzou. You of all people should know Mizzou is good, but not great. Their ranking has been inflated by beating really bad/injured UF and UGA.
TAMU can beat LSU. Or LSU can beat TAMU. Either outcome is just as likely as the other. If our gimpy-arse defense can hold LSU to 24 points then TAMU's can do enough to win the game, IMO.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:13 pm to Wanderin Reb
quote:
Yeah I noticed the LSU one and changed it. Mizzou would still be 9-3, though, right? Losses to USC, OM, and TAMU.
Oops, yeah, you're right, Mizzou would be 9-3
quote:
Time will tell.
But what a season, huh?
Oh yeah, no doubt. Just another (crazy) year in the SEC
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:14 pm to lsutothetop
If your predictions play out, there's no way we end up in the Liberty Bowl at 8-4. The Gator bowl would snatch us up so fast it would make your head spin. They want us bad.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:18 pm to EKG
quote:
nobody's passing up Johnny Manziel's last college game. If the Aggies knock off LSU in Baton Rouge and otherwise remain clean, the Sugar seems like a sure bet, but I think even a 9-3 A&M will be the pick, so long as Missouri loses again.
The SEC would not allow the Sugar Bowl to take a 9-3 team over a 10-2 team that beat them.
Sugar will go to most objectively deserving as will the Cap One most likely.
Cotton, Peach, Outback and Gator will be politics as usual.
Liberty, Music City and Compass will get the scraps.
Also remember, while the Cotton traditionally takes a West team, Missouri would be an obvious exception - former Big 12 team, many alumni in Texas, geographically closer, etc.
That would result in one or two of the Florida bowls taking a West team.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:19 pm to lsutothetop
quote:
Sugar Bowl: Missouri (11-2) vs Central Florida (11-1)
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