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re: Sorry if Germans but Alabama is 10 point favorites at LSU?

Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:22 pm to
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
37732 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

Al Bundy Bulldog


Sorry your shitty team got that arse handed to em, but you really are Just Miss State. Leave this discussion to the big boys.
Posted by tween the hedges
Member since Feb 2012
20550 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:27 pm to
If I was a betting man I'd take LSU. I just don't see them losing that bad at home. There's a reason I don't bet on sports though.
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

If I'm not mistaken, the line started at Bama -7. Which means people are betting Bama.


Not necessarily. Reverse line movement.
Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21651 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

Vegas either really likes Bama or doesn't care too much about LSU


Neither.

For the millionth effing time,
Vegas only cares about one thing and one thing only: Balancing the money that comes in so that roughly half of the money is bet on one team and half is bet on the other. So long as they are roughly equal, Vegas maximizes its profit on commissions. It's all about balancing the scales and has jack shite to Vegas "caring" or "liking" one team more than the other.

The line is merely a reflection of the market. Saying Vegas cares or likes someone is as intelligent as saying the NY Stock Exchange "loves" Apple or Google stock.

/rant
Posted by NATidefan
Two hours North of Birmingham
Member since Dec 2008
36776 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:35 pm to
How bout saying most of the people betting thought alabama was going to win by more than 7?
Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21651 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

How bout saying most of the people betting thought alabama was going to win by more than 7?


If you're saying that's why the line moved from -7 to -10, then well duh.

The line is merely a reflection of the "market price" as determined by the betting public -- aka the market.

With the way Bama has been playing so far (the reason they have every single #1 vote in the polls) and the way LSU's offense has performed so far, I'm not really surprised. LSU hasn't given sober people much reason to think they can beat Bama. Can't count us out and Miles often surprises people but the odds do not look very good at all. And people have placed their bets accordingly.

Now where's that Bama fap gif when I need it?
Posted by Bigdaddy800
New Orleans, La
Member since Feb 2009
124 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 5:52 pm to
Fact:

Alabama is 24-9-2 all time in tiger stadium!

Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21651 posts
Posted on 10/29/12 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Fact:

Alabama is 24-9-2 all time in tiger stadium!


Fact:

Les Miles is 36-1 in night games at Tiger Stadium and has never lost to Bama in a night game at Tiger Stadium.

Fact:

Bear Bryant is dead. Since Bear died, LSU and Bama are roughly .500 against one another. Saban and Miles are roughly .500 against one another during their tenures at Bama and LSU. LSU is 9-4 against Bama since 2000.
This post was edited on 10/29/12 at 6:03 pm
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Vegas only cares about one thing and one thing only: Balancing the money that comes in so that roughly half of the money is bet on one team and half is bet on the other. So long as they are roughly equal, Vegas maximizes its profit on commissions. It's all about balancing the scales and has jack shite to Vegas "caring" or "liking" one team more than the other.


This is 100% wrong bro. Vegas would much rather have the team that only 20% of the bettors win than it being 50/50 & only winning juice.
Posted by 14&Counting
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2012
41322 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 11:49 am to
quote:

LSU beat us by 2 in Baton Rouge on a Saturday night, So I'm not too worried about Bama'. They're going to crush Bama.


Your team is good but USCe is not on Bama's level...

Sorry
Posted by azcatiger
somewhere
Member since Mar 2011
5315 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 11:52 am to
No need to "Grind" when you have LSU's defense. The only grind will be Montgomery, Mingo, Freak and the rest of the D line on AJ.......and then later that night they get to grind on his momma's tittays. Deal with it.
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 11:53 am to
quote:

Vegas either really likes Bama or doesn't care too much about LSU.

Not sure you know how Vegas works.
Posted by Dr Lecter
Baltimore, MD
Member since Oct 2012
1341 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 11:57 am to
quote:

Sorry your shitty team got that arse handed to em, but you really are Just Miss State. Leave this discussion to the big boys.



Funny how fans of inferior teams love to rise up when their team shows some signs of life.

Too bad we will be putting LSU down there with them this weekend.
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 11:59 am to
quote:

This is 100% wrong bro. Vegas would much rather have the team that only 20% of the bettors win than it being 50/50 & only winning juice.


no...he's right. would they rather the 20% win? sure. but thats rare. the best chance they have to profit is to push the bets to as close as 50/50 as possible. that way they're guaranteed a profit.
Posted by Dr Lecter
Baltimore, MD
Member since Oct 2012
1341 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

No need to "Grind" when you have LSU's defense. The only grind will be Montgomery, Mingo, Freak and the rest of the D line on AJ.....


Bookmarked. Montgomery and Mingo will be made into little bitches if they even look at the Bama O line the wrong way.
Posted by azcatiger
somewhere
Member since Mar 2011
5315 posts
Posted on 10/30/12 at 1:31 pm to
"Bookmarked. Montgomery and Mingo will be made into little bitches if they even look at the Bama O line the wrong way. Dr Lecter"

yes, 2 top 5 or at least top 10 NFL Defensive Ends in this years draft will cry against mighty Bama but fine next year against veteran NFL lineman. This is why Bama fans LIKE YOU are the absolute worst! Now please GFY immediately. By the way, bookmarked? Really...really? You Bad arse MF.
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