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re: Likelihood your team loses to Alabama.

Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:17 am to
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:17 am to
It's why I am picking TN to beat UGA right now in my preseason predictions.

IF, IF, IF TN can get over the UF hump in the Swamp I see us coming back home the next week and getting beat by Arkansas. We will let out so much emotion if we can break that streak, I think Ark will catch us at the right time (and don't forget they are a very good team and will be able to run through our D probably as our strength is going to be pass rush and pass D).

But then I see us rebounding and coming out white hot on UGA and get revenge for the last two heartbreakers as UGA comes in undefeated and in the top 4 in the country after upsetting Bama in Athens.

It just makes too much sense.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46570 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:17 am to
quote:

I'm guessing no one has bothered to realize these are series winning percentages.


This post was edited on 5/6/15 at 8:19 am
Posted by LSU_Saints_Hornets
Uptown NO,LA
Member since Jan 2013
9739 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:18 am to
quote:

Oct. 24 *Tennessee 57% chance you lose to UA

Nov. 7 *LSU 65% chance you lose to UA






Pulling figures out your arse I see. Not arguing that UTK chance is 57%, but you think after being in a dog fight the week prior with UTK Bama will be primed to have the odds in their favor to beat LSU?
Posted by Ericvol2096
Charleston, SC
Member since May 2013
2588 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:19 am to
Damn, that went over my head. haha!
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46570 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:19 am to
quote:

primed to have the odds in their favor to beat LSU?


Game is in Tuscaloosa after a BYE week, and there aren't many players on LSU's roster who know what it's like to beat Bama.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72165 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:20 am to
Apparently it went over the entire thread's head.
Posted by DarrionFrmArk
Member since Dec 2014
1187 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:21 am to
quote:

Oct. 10 *Arkansas 65% chance you lose to UA


Way to high......
Posted by LSU_Saints_Hornets
Uptown NO,LA
Member since Jan 2013
9739 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Game is in Tuscaloosa after a BYE week


Yea I am stupid I counted the days wrong.

quote:

and there aren't many players on LSU's roster who know what it's like to beat Bama.




This is all the more reason why yall are in prime shape for an arse whoopin
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46570 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Apparently it went over the entire thread's head.


To be fair, I wouldn't expect anyone to recognize that right off.

I'm impressed that you did
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
15712 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:24 am to
quote:

I'd have Auburn at 35%. We at home and have a huge QB advantage.


Based on what evidence?

You've got a QB with exactly 1 SEC start more than whomever starts for Alabama will have coming into the season. He's very highly touted but unproven as a starter.

By the time of the Iron Bowl, both teams will know where they stand at the QB position and Johnson may well be a great one but to say with certainty right now that you've got a huge QB advantage is nothing more than wishful thinking.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46570 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:24 am to
quote:

This is all the more reason why yall are in prime shape for an arse whoopin


Or all the more reason why you're in prime shape to join the ranks of Tennesssee, Arkansas, MSU, Ole Miss, etc... who have experienced lengthy losing streaks to Alabama under CNS.
Posted by Patton
Principality of Sealand
Member since Apr 2011
32652 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:25 am to
Posted by LSU_Saints_Hornets
Uptown NO,LA
Member since Jan 2013
9739 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:27 am to
quote:

I'm guessing no one has bothered to realize these are series winning percentages.



quote:

Nov. 7 *LSU 65% chance you lose to UA



Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
123594 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:27 am to
What about Bama beating Bama?
Posted by Patton
Principality of Sealand
Member since Apr 2011
32652 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:28 am to
100%

We will beat ourselves in every game, and still win.
Posted by CapstoneGrad06
Little Rock
Member since Nov 2008
72165 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:28 am to
quote:

To be fair, I wouldn't expect anyone to recognize that right off.

I'm impressed that you did


I'm an engineer. I like numbers and college football statistics appeal to me. Especially historical data.
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
123594 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:31 am to
Posted by auburnphan23
Member since Jan 2014
5862 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:40 am to
Auburn has a 67 percent chance of winning because that is our winning percentage against you losers in Jordan Hare
Posted by Legendary0903
Tree Fiddy Green Money
Member since Jan 2014
4416 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Likelihood your team loses to Alabama.


11
Posted by CBandits82
Lurker since May 2008
Member since May 2012
54050 posts
Posted on 5/6/15 at 8:43 am to
80%.

We can't close the deal against you frickers.
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