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re: ESPN playoff predictor- choose a team and create your a scenario

Posted on 9/28/21 at 2:17 pm to
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
27707 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 2:17 pm to
B12 should be on probation from making the playoffs
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24924 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

Apparently the playoff predictor thinks Arky has less than a 4% chance. That’s why they aren’t listed.



This is probably based on ESPN FPI predictor which has Arkansas losing @ Georgia (10.9% FPI win projection), @Alabama (11.8% FPI win projection), and @ Ole Miss (33.1% win projection). Also have them as close to a toss up @ LSU (52% FPI win projection). Basically they aren't in there yet because the makers of this model project them to lose at least 3 games in the regular season.
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
57877 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Apparently the playoff predictor thinks Arky has less than a 4% chance.
2-2 Clemson has 0% chance.
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Texas but no Arky? Lol


That means that Arkansas schedule is tougher and it’s very unlikely that they have enough wins to get in. They only added teams that are most likely to get in based on their schedule. You can then edit the scenarios for those teams only.
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29451 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:07 pm to
You can pick texas but not the team that stomped a mudhole in them. This is what's wrong with college sports
Posted by MetroAtlantaGatorFan
Member since Jun 2017
15598 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:09 pm to
We have a 2% chance of making the playoff if we lose to UGA. Better than 0% I guess.
Posted by MetroAtlantaGatorFan
Member since Jun 2017
15598 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:10 pm to
Yeah it's full retard they have Mich St but not Arky.
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:10 pm to
One of these things is not like the other…
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

You can pick texas but not the team that stomped a mudhole in them. This is what's wrong with college sports


Based on both teams schedules, which team is more likely to make it?
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

Yeah it's full retard they have Mich St but not Arky.


Which teams is more likely to have more losses?
Posted by MetroAtlantaGatorFan
Member since Jun 2017
15598 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:11 pm to
Then why is Michigan St included? They still have to play Ohio St, Iowa, Michigan, and Penn St.
Posted by MetroAtlantaGatorFan
Member since Jun 2017
15598 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

Which teams is more likely to have more losses?

See my previous post.
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

Then why is Michigan St included? They still have to play Ohio St, Iowa, Michigan, and Penn St.


Because it’s more likely that they lose one of those and get in over Arkansas losing just 1 vs Georgia, Alabama, LSU and ole miss and getting in.
Posted by MetroAtlantaGatorFan
Member since Jun 2017
15598 posts
Posted on 9/28/21 at 5:16 pm to
They both have 4 current ranked opponents left on their schedule.
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