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Can someone link to a good strength of schedule source?
Posted on 12/11/25 at 4:00 pm
Posted on 12/11/25 at 4:00 pm
I see various SOS rankings out there but is there a consensus one?
I would like to compare ND to Alabama, Texas, Miami and Vanderbilt
I would like to compare ND to Alabama, Texas, Miami and Vanderbilt
7
Posted on 12/11/25 at 4:07 pm to Chicken
Posted on 12/11/25 at 4:08 pm to Chicken
Don't know of a site that aggregates respected SoS rankings, but:
fbschedules.com: Compares multiple computer models (ESPN FPI, Sagarin, Colley Matrix
teamrankings.com: Opponent-adjusted strength (games played to date)
Espn.com/fpi: Projected and played SOS via Football Power Index
masseyratings.com: Aggregates 100+ computer ratings (SOS as sub-metric)
Sagarin.com: Linear regression-based SOS (personal preferred)
powerrankingsguru.com: Composite power rankings for opponents (probably closest to your ask)
fbschedules.com: Compares multiple computer models (ESPN FPI, Sagarin, Colley Matrix
teamrankings.com: Opponent-adjusted strength (games played to date)
Espn.com/fpi: Projected and played SOS via Football Power Index
masseyratings.com: Aggregates 100+ computer ratings (SOS as sub-metric)
Sagarin.com: Linear regression-based SOS (personal preferred)
powerrankingsguru.com: Composite power rankings for opponents (probably closest to your ask)
This post was edited on 12/11/25 at 4:11 pm
Posted on 12/11/25 at 4:08 pm to Chicken
Posted on 12/11/25 at 4:20 pm to Chicken
FEI is the best one I know of. Most metrics use averages and they aren't really accurate.
Take a 2 game schedule for 2 teams. Team A plays vs #49 and #50 teams. Team B plays #1 and #130. Averages claim Team A played a tougher schedule, but in reality Team B's schedule is much tougher. An elite team on Team A's schedule should have 0 losses. While a an elite team on Team B's schedule is likely to have 1 loss.
This metric predicts losses instead of using averages.
FEI
#4 Alabama - 2.97
#5 Texas - 2.82
#7 Florida - 2.72
#8 Auburn - 2.57
#10 Arkansas - 2.50
#11 South Carolina - 2.42
#12 Kentucky - 2.38
#15 LSU - 2.29
#17 Miss St - 2.23
#20 Missouri - 2.13
#21 Oklahoma - 2.09
#22 Tennessee - 2.05
#23 Georgia - 2.04
#36 Texas A&M -1.70
#39 Vandy - 1.57
#48 Ole Miss - 1.35
Other notables:
#16 Indiana - 2.25
#19 BYU - 2.18
#25 Oregon - 2.03
#25 Ohio St - 2.02
#43 Notre Dame - 1.48
#47 Texas Tech - 1.39
#49 Miami - 1.33
#82 Tulane - 0.56
#116 James Madison - 0.21
Take a 2 game schedule for 2 teams. Team A plays vs #49 and #50 teams. Team B plays #1 and #130. Averages claim Team A played a tougher schedule, but in reality Team B's schedule is much tougher. An elite team on Team A's schedule should have 0 losses. While a an elite team on Team B's schedule is likely to have 1 loss.
This metric predicts losses instead of using averages.
FEI
#4 Alabama - 2.97
#5 Texas - 2.82
#7 Florida - 2.72
#8 Auburn - 2.57
#10 Arkansas - 2.50
#11 South Carolina - 2.42
#12 Kentucky - 2.38
#15 LSU - 2.29
#17 Miss St - 2.23
#20 Missouri - 2.13
#21 Oklahoma - 2.09
#22 Tennessee - 2.05
#23 Georgia - 2.04
#36 Texas A&M -1.70
#39 Vandy - 1.57
#48 Ole Miss - 1.35
Other notables:
#16 Indiana - 2.25
#19 BYU - 2.18
#25 Oregon - 2.03
#25 Ohio St - 2.02
#43 Notre Dame - 1.48
#47 Texas Tech - 1.39
#49 Miami - 1.33
#82 Tulane - 0.56
#116 James Madison - 0.21
Posted on 12/11/25 at 4:24 pm to Chicken
Didn’t see the post above, agree 100% that FEI is the best option for SOS.
This post was edited on 12/11/25 at 4:25 pm
Posted on 12/11/25 at 5:48 pm to Chicken
Some good ones mentioned so far, so I'll just add Brian Fremeau's BCF Toys.
Strength of Schedule (ALS)
01 Alabama
23 Texas
26 Vanderbilt
32 Notre Dame
40 Miami
Strength of Record (AWD)
05 Alabama
11 Vanderbilt
12 Notre Dame
13 Miami
16 Texas
If you peruse that site overall, his efficiency ratings and points-per-drive are top notch metrics throughout the season, and his F+ Ratings combine FEI ratings with Bill Connelly's SP+. Check out the drive success rates for some eye opening numbers (this is how we knew Pete Golding was failing as a DC, by the way).
quote:
I would like to compare ND to Alabama, Texas, Miami and Vanderbilt
Strength of Schedule (ALS)
01 Alabama
23 Texas
26 Vanderbilt
32 Notre Dame
40 Miami
Strength of Record (AWD)
05 Alabama
11 Vanderbilt
12 Notre Dame
13 Miami
16 Texas
quote:
Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents (ELS), the number of losses a team one standard deviation above average would expect to have against the schedule (GLS), and the number of losses an average team would expect to have against the schedule (ALS). Strength of record ratings (EWD, GWD, AWD) are the difference between a team's schedule strength ratings and its actual losses.
If you peruse that site overall, his efficiency ratings and points-per-drive are top notch metrics throughout the season, and his F+ Ratings combine FEI ratings with Bill Connelly's SP+. Check out the drive success rates for some eye opening numbers (this is how we knew Pete Golding was failing as a DC, by the way).
Posted on 12/11/25 at 5:49 pm to paperwasp
quote:
pamperswasp
*Retard says something retarded*
Posted on 12/11/25 at 5:51 pm to WilliamTaylor21
Posted on 12/11/25 at 5:52 pm to WilliamTaylor21
quote:
WilliamGaylor21
Posted on 12/11/25 at 5:59 pm to Chicken
Chicken,
You know how this works man, you find the one that best fits your narrative and use that one no matter how good or bad it is....
You know how this works man, you find the one that best fits your narrative and use that one no matter how good or bad it is....
Posted on 12/11/25 at 6:01 pm to Lonnie Utah
The computer rankings in the BCS were:
Anderson & Hester
Billingsley
Colley
Massey
Sagarin
Wolfe
Anderson & Hester
Billingsley
Colley
Massey
Sagarin
Wolfe
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