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re: AU's Dee Ford calls Clowney "Blind dog in a meat market"

Posted on 3/4/14 at 2:28 pm to
Posted by Yintros
Bateon Rouge, Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
590 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 2:28 pm to
Dee Ford has proven that he is the superior prospect to Clowney. I expect him to be drafted at 1 or 2 now.
Posted by gamecocks22
SC
Member since Dec 2012
4913 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 2:30 pm to


quote:

Dee Ford has proven that he is the superior prospect to Clowney. I expect him to be drafted at 1 or 2 now.


wait til clowney runs a 4.43 at his pro day.


based on averages, Ford would have probably ran a 4.63 at the combine.

Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37838 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 2:38 pm to
Y'all clearly have no clue how statistics work if you took tha combine vs pro day seriously. There is no way you could regress something that correlates 40 times at pro and combine. Your estimator would be incredibly bias due to the sample size. The sample of players who ran at both combine and pro day is a ridiculously biased sample set.

Like Greg Robinson or Tre Mason, those who know how fast they are and believe they ran at, near or below their fastest will not run the 40 at their pro day. Only guys who believe they can improve their 40 time will do it

Therefore there is a bias in the estimator rendering that stat completely useless as written unless adjusted
This post was edited on 3/4/14 at 2:40 pm
Posted by Yintros
Bateon Rouge, Louisiana
Member since Jul 2013
590 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Y'all clearly have no clue how statistics work if you took tha combine vs pro day seriously. There is no way you could regress something that correlates 40 times at pro and combine. Your estimator would be incredibly bias due to the sample size. The sample of players who ran at both combine and pro day is a ridiculously biased sample set.

Like Greg Robinson or Tre Mason, those who know how fast they are and believe they ran at, near or below their fastest will not run the 40 at their pro day. Only guys who believe they can improve their 40 time will do it

Therefore there is a bias in the estimator rendering that stat completely useless as written unless adjusted

Shhh, don't tell them that statistics can be somewhat complex.
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37838 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 2:50 pm to
Just basic logic that if only the guys who believe they can run faster and none of the guys who thought they did as good or better than they hoped run at the combine, pro day numbers will be better.
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
40331 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 2:51 pm to
Auburn pushes a little hush money to the lasers, anyways.
Posted by gamecocks22
SC
Member since Dec 2012
4913 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Y'all clearly have no clue how statistics work if you took tha combine vs pro day seriously. There is no way you could regress something that correlates 40 times at pro and combine. Your estimator would be incredibly bias due to the sample size. The sample of players who ran at both combine and pro day is a ridiculously biased sample set. Like Greg Robinson or Tre Mason, those who know how fast they are and believe they ran at, near or below their fastest will not run the 40 at their pro day. Only guys who believe they can improve their 40 time will do it Therefore there is a bias in the estimator rendering that stat completely useless as written unless adjusted



I agree with what you are saying, but do you have a better way to compare?
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108488 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:06 pm to
Just think, you have witnessed the best football USCe will ever play. It has gotten SC 0 titles...

Dee Ford will go in the first round, maybe high 2nd. Not bad for someone nobody knows.
This post was edited on 3/4/14 at 3:08 pm
Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:08 pm to
So a player that's 20 lbs lighter than Clowney runs slower than Clowney, leaps lower than Clowney, and broad jumps no further than Clowney, and then says that he's better than Clowney? With fewer career TFL and sacks than Clowney, despite playing 1 more season?






Got it....
This post was edited on 3/4/14 at 3:09 pm
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37838 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:10 pm to
A better way to compare what? I don't see how lasers can register differently unless you will flat out accuse people of cheating.I'll give you a bias for the pro day in that the day isn't as grueling since at the combine you wake up at around 4-5 I've heard

Difference between pro/combine is very small of laser /same measurements are used at both
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108488 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:12 pm to
When did I say Ford was better than Clowney?
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
40331 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

So a player that's 20 lbs lighter than Clowney


Yet stronger.

quote:

runs slower than Clowney

40's were pretty much the same & Ford beat him on the 3-cone

quote:

, leaps lower than Clowney

meh

quote:

broad jumps no further than Clowney

meh

quote:

then says that he's better than Clowney?
Do what now?

quote:

With fewer career TFL and sacks than Clowney, despite playing 1 more season?
How many games did each actually play? I would venture a guess that Clowney has actually appeared in more games than Ford (obviously this is an estimate) Dee has actually played very few games, even though he has been at Auburn a while. His injury history is his biggest concern.
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
40331 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

A better way to compare what? I don't see how lasers can register differently


See my comment about the laser hush fund.
Posted by CockRocket
Columbia, SC
Member since May 2012
6840 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

Michael Sam and Kony Ealy played better too.

Clowney was just milktoast.
Quit comparing your players to Clowney when claiming Clowney is overrated! It dilutes your original point.

Also, don't you find it funny that Sam's best year (his senior year) wasn't as good as Clowney's best year (as a sophomore)?
Posted by gamecocks22
SC
Member since Dec 2012
4913 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

See my comment about the laser hush fund.


Again, I was referring to what I heard while watching the combine, is that the clock is still started by a human. A human starts it, and lasers finish it. I also said I may have heard this wrong, but no one has told me otherwise.
Posted by CockRocket
Columbia, SC
Member since May 2012
6840 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

A better way to compare what? I don't see how lasers can register differently unless you will flat out accuse people of cheating.I'll give you a bias for the pro day in that the day isn't as grueling since at the combine you wake up at around 4-5 I've heard
Clowney has been clocked at sub 4.5 multiple times at USC. What are all y'all gonna say when he does it again at Pro-day?
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108488 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

Clowney has been clocked at sub 4.5 multiple times at USC. What are all y'all gonna say when he does it again at Pro-day?


He's fast
Posted by CockRocket
Columbia, SC
Member since May 2012
6840 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

, leaps lower than Clowney

meh

quote:
broad jumps no further than Clowney

meh
Interesting that you don't really seem to care when Clowney's numbers are better but then try your hardest to justify the others.

quote:

Yet stronger.
Upper body strength isn't the best way to judge a DLine's player's game strength. Plus, I bet Clowney has longer arms.
quote:

40's were pretty much the same & Ford beat him on the 3-cone
meh. (see, I can do it too)
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 3:46 pm to
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
40331 posts
Posted on 3/4/14 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Interesting that you don't really seem to care when Clowney's numbers are better but then try your hardest to justify the others.


No. I just don't care on measures that I don't see as all that pertinent to a DE. The broad jump I do see as important, as it is a good measure of explosion, but seeing as they did the same, that gets a meh. The 40 is still pretty irrelevant too, which is why I mentioned the 3 cone drill. Would like to see what each player's 10 yard split is.

quote:

Upper body strength isn't the best way to judge a DLine's player's game strength. Plus, I bet Clowney has longer arms.

Okay? His arm length is a little less than 2 inches more than Ford. Does that justify the 8 reps less? Vertical isn't the best way to measure a DL's game strength either, but you used it.

quote:

40's were pretty much the same & Ford beat him on the 3-cone
meh. (see, I can do it too)

Nah, you just tried to say Clowney was faster, when he wasn't. You can disregard it, but that doesn't help your argument.
This post was edited on 3/4/14 at 4:19 pm
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