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6-way tie for SEC Title Scenario

Posted on 2/26/24 at 3:51 pm
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
1683 posts
Posted on 2/26/24 at 3:51 pm
Bama beats Ole Miss and Arkansas; loses to Tennessee and @ Florida

Tennessee beats Bama and Auburn; loses at South Carolina and to Kentucky

Auburn beats Mississippi State, Missouri, and Georgia; loses at Tennessee

South Carolina beats Tennessee, Texas A&M, and Mississippi State; loses to Florida

Kentucky and Florida both win out.

Honestly none of the above is that far fetched, however every outcome would have to play out just as described for the six-way tie to happen. According to Torvik there is just a 0.012% chance of that happening.

Would love to see the SEC office scramble on how to seed everyone.
Posted by Lynxrufus2012
Central Kentucky
Member since Mar 2020
12274 posts
Posted on 2/26/24 at 3:55 pm to
Bet on it and you will have a pile of cash if it happens. I will be surprised if Kentucky beats Mississippi State.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
1683 posts
Posted on 2/26/24 at 3:59 pm to
FYI, there are 18 games remaining between these six teams. For the 6-way scenario to happen, 7 of the 18 games would be upsets. Ranging in order from most likely to least likely, here are the upsets that would have to occur:

48%- Florida wins at South Carolina
45%- South Carolina wins at Texas A&M
41%- Tennessee wins at Alabama
41%- Kentucky wins at Miss State
37%- South Carolina beats Tennessee
29%- South Carolina wins at Miss State
23%- Kentucky beats Tennessee
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