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re: The Relaxation Chamber: Limited Severe Risk MS/AL/GA/TN

Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:05 pm to
Posted by TupeloReb
Member since Nov 2012
10744 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:05 pm to
Yikes
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:06 pm to
Nothing is set in stone. I know the name of the thread, but I don't want to build panic. Just awareness.
Posted by Hardy_Har
MS
Member since Nov 2012
16331 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:07 pm to
Local Rock station in Jackson, MS gave a good scare warning this a.m. then played "Gimme Shelter" - Rolling Stones. These motherfrickers
Posted by NbamaTiger90
Member since Sep 2012
1752 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:07 pm to
DAMN!!

Not looking good for Athens or that whole I65 area.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:09 pm to


Reminds me of the night before Ivan hit. The rock station out of P-Cola had a statement about the coming storm and then turned to The Scorpions...

"Here I am! Rock you like a Hurricane!"
Posted by Hardy_Har
MS
Member since Nov 2012
16331 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:11 pm to


"When the levee breaks" is another good one. The lyrics of that song are rough.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:12 pm to


quote:

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0451 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1205 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NERN LA...WRN/NRN MS...NWRN AL...SRN MIDDLE TN. CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 281705Z - 281900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCH IS HIGHLY PROBABLE WITHIN NEXT HOUR ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA. SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN BKN/SW-NE BAND AND INTENSIFY THROUGH AFTN WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT/LONG-TRACK TORNADOES POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...EARLIER CONVECTION HAS LEFT OUTFLOW/DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING BOUNDARY ALIGNED SW-NE ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA...BECOMING MORE DIFFUSE WITH SWWD EXTENT AT SFC. MEANWHILE VIS IMAGERY SHOWS EXPANDING POCKETS OF RELATIVELY CLOUD-FREE AREAS THAT WILL FOSTER SUSTAINED PERIOD OF INSOLATION AND QUICK SBCINH REMOVAL. MODIFIED RAOBS AND FCST SOUNDINGS OVER THIS CORRIDOR SUGGEST 1500-2500 J/KG MLCAPE WILL BUILD NEWD. IN THIS ENVIRONMENT...TSTMS ALREADY ARE DEVELOPING OVER NERN LA INVOF MLU...AND IF NOT ALREADY SFC-BASED...MAY BECOME SO SHORTLY. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO FORM NEWD ACROSS MS INTO SRN MID TN AND NWRN AL AS AIR MASS THERE DESTABILIZES IN NEXT 2-3 HOURS. DEEP-LAYER AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR EACH ARE FAVORABLE AND WILL REMAIN SO...WITH 50-70 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES. EFFECTIVE SRH SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH AFTN TO AROUND 300 J/KG...AND VWP ALREADY SHOW 300-500 J/KG OF 0-3 KM SRH OVER NERN MS.


SPC Mesoscale Discussion

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:16 pm to


That's what the rock station out of NOLA lead with after they stopped Katrina coverage.
Posted by Col Reb is my mascot
Member since Feb 2012
4165 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:18 pm to
So is Oxford in line to get hit or does it look to be going west of us? Tough to tell from the images you posted. Thanks
Posted by Hardy_Har
MS
Member since Nov 2012
16331 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:19 pm to
We just moved into a house with probably 8 loads of standing timber in the yard. Wife is 8 months prego. Your last model posted is probably about to make me day drinking on a monday..
Posted by TupeloReb
Member since Nov 2012
10744 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:19 pm to
According to Reed Timmer's twitter it is.

quote:

@reedtimmerTVN: We are targeting Oxford to Tupelo, MS area today. Strong #tornadoes across much of MS, western TN, into northern AL. Be safe today
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:20 pm to
I don't know anything specifically but Oxford is in the highest risk area.
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
43550 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

So is Oxford in line to get hit or does it look to be going west of us?


There was a storm tracking out of LA to Greenwood that appeared it would go between Oxford and Tupelo on the map, could get a Tstorm in Oxford out of it.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:21 pm to
quote:


We just moved into a house with probably 8 loads of standing timber in the yard. Wife is 8 months prego. Your last model posted is probably about to make me day drinking on a monday..


Preggers wife and a yardfull of projectiles. Best husband ever. Stay safe bruh, I'll drink one (or three) in your honor.
Posted by brucevilanch
Fort Worth, Tejas
Member since May 2011
24416 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:22 pm to
TorCon updated to 8/10 for Jackson, Mississippi and Huntsville, Alabama. shite might get real around here today.
Posted by 870Hog
99999 posts
Member since Jul 2011
16189 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:22 pm to
Stay safe
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:22 pm to
Yep
Posted by Col Reb is my mascot
Member since Feb 2012
4165 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:23 pm to
Thanks guys
Posted by blzr
Saratoga
Member since Mar 2011
30744 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

TorCon updated to 8/10 for Jackson, Mississippi and Huntsville, Alabama. shite might get real around here today.


What about central Alabama? Just thunderstorms?
Posted by BamaChick
Terminus
Member since Dec 2008
21393 posts
Posted on 4/28/14 at 12:24 pm to
Yep, us folks in North AL need to be on our toes.

It just feels like tornado weather.

Kids get out at 1:00 and I've cleaned out our shelter closet.

HATE this shite. HATE IT.
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