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re: Assuming we were to win in Tuscaloosa
Posted on 11/5/14 at 7:30 am to Henry Jones Jr
Posted on 11/5/14 at 7:30 am to Henry Jones Jr
quote:
Late season losses tend to hurt worse than early season losses do
Please tell me how you know this.
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Posted on 11/5/14 at 8:30 am to 17theBears
quote:Well established phenomenon over time. Who knows how that might play out under the new format and the new committee. But, a one loss Michigan State to a #4 Oregon first part of the season is a distant memory compared to a hypothetical loss to a 10 or Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl.
Please tell me how you know this.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 8:46 am to 17theBears
Posted on 11/5/14 at 8:53 am to 17theBears
It's the same feeling that Bundy gets when he is predicting a cruitin' decision.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 8:55 am to Diamondawg
quote:
Well established phenomenon over time.
Polls. Established phenomenon in polls. Polls that don't matter and aren't taken into account in the new system.
quote:
Who knows how that might play out under the new format and the new committee.
We got a good glimpse when Ole Miss loses @LSU, the AP drops them from #3 to #7, the coaches' drops them from #3 to #9, and the committee kept them at #4 based on the overall strength of resume. Literally all the data at this point shows the committee totally ignoring time of loss while looking at total resume. These are numbers people -- not "fad" people.
quote:
But, a one loss Michigan State to a #4 Oregon first part of the season is a distant memory compared to a hypothetical loss to a 10 or Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl.
Until Michigan St gets thumped by an Urban Meyer team in a revenge game this Saturday at home.
Even then, assuming they win out, 2 top 20 wins, maybe 3, one top 10 loss.
Mississippi State - 4 top 10 wins, maybe another top 20 win, 1 top 10 loss.
There is a 0.00% chance that we are getting left out in that scenario.
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Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:37 am to NIH
I don't know what else State has to do to gain respect. Whether you guys win or lose against Bama, you're still one of, if not, THE best team in the country. That's how it is though. Perception is so many people's reality. Outside of the Egg Bowl, I'm pulling for you guys.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:43 am to NIH
The thing is I see Damian beating them too. You would have to go way down the rotation, maybe Staley, or Fit......wait maybe just put JRob in wildca....Damn! We would have to TRY to lose that one for OM to even have a chance.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:48 am to MaroonNation
quote:
The thing is I see Damian beating them too. You would have to go way down the rotation, maybe Staley, or Fit......wait maybe just put JRob in wildca....Damn! We would have to TRY to lose that one for OM to even have a chance.
You don't really believe this. Williams couldn't even score on last year's Ole Miss defense.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:55 am to sorantable
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Last year's Williams couldn't even score on last year's Ole Miss defense.
FIFY. Both are different.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 10:02 am to sorantable
And OM couldn't score on our defense. Your only score was a FG and a defensive TD on a blocked punt from our own endzone
Posted on 11/5/14 at 10:10 am to MaroonNation
It's still a stupid statement.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 10:10 am to NIH
quote:
Assuming we win in Tuscaloosa
Assuming we win in Tuscaloosa, WE WIN THE SEC! I don't see Ole Miss recovering after those two hard losses at the end of the year. Im not saying its impossible, but its unlikely. Hopefully LSU will beat Bama to get their spirits down for our game. If State wins against Bama, the SEC is practically ours, and maybe the playoffs as well
Posted on 11/5/14 at 10:12 am to sorantable
But he did score on last year's OM defense...
No, I wouldn't feel good about the game with him starting at QB just like I didn't feel good about it last year...
No, I wouldn't feel good about the game with him starting at QB just like I didn't feel good about it last year...
This post was edited on 11/5/14 at 10:13 am
Posted on 11/5/14 at 10:15 am to MaroonNation
quote:
We would have to TRY to lose that one for OM to even have a chance.
I guess I should have spotlighted this gem and went about my business. Good lord.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 10:21 am to Mathieu7
quote:
Mathieu7
quote:
LSU Fan
quote:
Assuming we win in Tuscaloosa, WE WIN THE SEC
quote:
Hopefully LSU will beat Bama to get their spirits down for our game
I am really confused.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 11:24 am to DynastyDawg
quote:
Dynasty Dawg
quote:
LSU Fan
I'm the one confused? haha jk. LSU is my team, but since I was addressing State fans, I labeled as our and we
Posted on 11/5/14 at 11:25 am to Henry Jones Jr
quote:
I could be totally wrong but there's a history of teams (even with a better resume) get penalized more harshly for late season losses.
You are wrong. There is no history on what the playoff committee is going to do.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 11:26 am to UMRealist
quote:
Auburn's resume would be better up until that point but State would have the opportunity to win the SECCG and that could possibly put it over the top. It's going to be really interesting to see how much weight they put on conference championships.
No chance that a 11-1 Auburn goes to the playoffs over a 12-1 SEC Champion Mississippi State. State would also have the head to head.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:30 pm to Henry Jones Jr
quote:
Late season losses tend to hurt worse than early season losses do.
Late season losses hurting teams are a thing of the past. Ole Miss proved that by being #4 right after a loss.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 9:32 pm to msu202020
quote:
There is no history on what the playoff committee is going to do.
Actually... there is... they put Ole Miss #4 right after they lost. Proving that they look at entire body of work and don't put too much weight on 'what have you done for me lately'.
If we Beat bama and win the SECCG, we are in. No doubt in my mind.
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