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re: Melt MegaThread

Posted on 10/28/23 at 5:27 pm to
Posted by GaryGator
The Swamp
Member since Jun 2017
7099 posts
Posted on 10/28/23 at 5:27 pm to
A new A.D. and a real innovative, proven head fotball coach, is what's really needed
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4662 posts
Posted on 10/28/23 at 6:26 pm to
Napier needs to get things going. 6-6 In year 3 after two 6-6 seasons would be unacceptable. I don't care what is on the schedule.
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 11:03 am to
quote:

a real innovative, proven head fotball coach, is what's really needed

I don't necessarily disagree. But who would fit this category?

Urban?

I know it would be great to get a proven innovative HC, but they don't grow on trees. Everyone we've hired since Urban hasn't fit that category. A new AD might help, but it might not.

Look at USC. Riley fit that category on paper, but in practice he's not been much better than what we have despite having a Heisman winning qb.
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4662 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 12:01 pm to
USC has a pretty bad defense. Riley better get that corrected going into the Big 10 unlike what he did in the Big 12 where he got away with that.
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

C has a pretty bad defense. Riley better get that corrected going into the Big 10 unlike what he did in the Big 12 where he got away with that.

Alex Grinch was terrible at Ohio State before Riley hired him at OU, where he was also terrible.

Riley and Grinch is like Mullen and Grantham.

Don't hire DC's whose last name starts with "Gr-"
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 12:09 pm to
But going back to that point, Riley was considered a grand slam hire, and at the time, I'd agree.

But he's been pretty disappointing at USC and could realistically end the year 7-5 (and probably losing a bowl game that Caleb would sit out of).

His recruiting class is also #19 on 247, which is really the most surprising thing. I knew his defense would suck with Grinch as DC, but I thought he'd kill it recruiting at USC.

It just goes to show that hiring a "proven" coach isn't such a gimme. And there aren't many "proven" coaches out there:

-Saban (on his last legs)
-Kirby
- Urban (retired, might have more juice left, but might not)
- Dabo (on the decline)

Who else out there fits this category?

Ryan Day?

Brian Kelly? (Won't be leaving LSU unless he fails and gets fired)

Chip Kelly?

I'm not saying we should stick with Napier for the sake of it. His recruiting is good but on-field hasn't been up to par. He needs to improve that sooner rather than later. I'm not ready to call for his head in year 2, but drastic improvements on the field need to be made in years 3-4.

But back to the question at hand, who is a proven head coach who could be realistically hired and even if they are, with Kirby rolling at UGA, who is to say they'd be able to succeed with the talent deficiencies this program has and needs to shore up to compete?
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4662 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 12:41 pm to
Its a tough question if Napier did show in 2024 he isn't cut out for a big time SEC job. His failure would probably assure we didn't go for another group of 5 coach. My guess is the realistic options would be the top assistant coaches at big time power 5 programs and a couple of head coaches who are considered good right now but might be willing to leave thinking Florida is a bigger stage and gives them a better chance to get a national championship.
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

My guess is the realistic options would be the top assistant coaches at big time power 5 programs and a couple of head coaches who are considered good right now but might be willing to leave thinking Florida is a bigger stage and gives them a better chance to get a national championship.

Neither option would be necessarily bad, but neither would really be considered "proven" either.

Top assistant coaches are a total gamble, seeing the range between Muschanmp and Kirby (would likely end up somewhere in between).

Who are the coaches currently out there who could be considered in the second category?

Johnathan Smith at Oregon St, Elko, Leopold (great coach but getting old), maybe Tom Herman from FAU?
Posted by finchmeister08
Member since Mar 2011
39597 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 1:34 pm to
There is no coach out there that can save our program. The ones that can are already established at their own CFP capable schools.

Saban - Bama
Kirby - UGA
Venables - OU
Lanning - ORE
Sarkisian - UT
Franklin - PSU
Day - OSU
Riley - USC

I don’t see any of them leaving. The only upcoming coach that I can see being the next big thing is Luke Fickell and that depends on how well he does at Wisconsin. If/when Napier is let go, which is probably 2 season from now if we continue 6 win seasons, we should know how good of a coach Fickell is.
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Riley - USC

Based on what I've seen so far, I doubt he'd save us. He's not even saving USC
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4662 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 1:44 pm to
Herman wouldn't be considered I think. Kalen DeBoer at WA has 2 quick turnarounds but he might not be a good fit for the SEC. Dan Lanning at Oregon looks decent on paper with SEC ties but I doubt Oregon's money people would let someone take him now. Like DeBoer I am not sure Smith would be a good fit in the SEC. Jeff Brohm had 2 decent seasons for Purdue at the end before Louisville but not sure if he is the real deal or not.
This post was edited on 10/29/23 at 1:46 pm
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

Kalen DeBoer at WA

I was high on him but WA has looked really suspect the past two weeks since they beat Oregon.

quote:

Dan Lanning at Oregon looks decent on paper with SEC ties

So did Mario Cristobal.

It's pretty hard to suck at Oregon with their resources relative to their competitors. Hell, Taggart did well enough at Oregon to con FSU into hiring him.

Not saying Lanning isn't good, but I am leery of basing a coaches' ability based on doing well at Oregon.

quote:

Jeff Brohm

Seems really good, but has deep ties to Louisville. I doubt he'd leave their to come here unless we pay him like $11 million a year or something crazy like that. He's good, but not that good.
Posted by gatorsimz
cafe risque
Member since Feb 2009
8375 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 1:48 pm to
I think we just have to take our lumps with Napier regarding occasional in game coaching miscues and hope that his talent evaluation and recruiting lead us to the promise land. I have no confidence Stricklin would go out and hire anyone better.
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4662 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 1:57 pm to
This doesn't seem to be a good time for getting proven good head coaches that would be willing to leave. If we did go the coordinator route I would be scared to grab a DC who hasn't been a head coach based on our history though. I wonder if Ryan Day would ever consider leaving if they lost to Michigan this year and didn't win a national championship in 2023 or 2024.
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

. I wonder if Ryan Day would ever consider leaving if they lost to Michigan this year and didn't win a national championship in 2023 or 2024.

If that happened, he might get fired.

I would bet he'd try an NFL coordinator role rather than another college HC role if that happened.

I think he's a good coach, his record is fantastic at Ohio State, but slipping the momentum to Michigan is concerning considering how far ahead he was when he took over.
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

I think we just have to take our lumps with Napier regarding occasional in game coaching miscues and hope that his talent evaluation and recruiting lead us to the promise land.

If he can continue to recruit at a high level, and adapt in key ways (upgrade offensive staff, hire OC and ST coaches, leverage the portal better, and improve OL recruiting) he might be the best bet.

MacElwain was clearly not the answer to take us to the next level, but was a good talent evaluator (Pitts, Trask, Toney) and was about to bring in a top 5 class before he melted under the pressure. We pushed him out and ended up with Dan Mullen, which ultimately killed the program and set it back a decade. Literally replaced a 6-8 win coach who was a meh recruiter but above average talent evaluator with a 6-8 win coach who was terrible at both recruiting and evaluating talent.

EDIT: No Mac had to go eventually but I thought he should have gotten a year to keep that class together and prove himself but also to give more time to scout hires as a replacement. No way would it be expected to have to replace him after he won the east 2 years in a row (despite not being competitive in the games and backing into them) Instead we had to rush the hiring process and ended up with Mullen, which was a horrible hire to me at the time.
This post was edited on 10/29/23 at 2:13 pm
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4662 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 3:33 pm to
If Napier pulls another 6-6/7-5 record a 3rd straight year he doesn't have a clue how to build a champion. His game management so far is very concerning. The new coach in 2025 would have a pretty good roster to work with though. I hope Napier gets his act together and we find a decent OC to save him but if we came out of the gate with our schedule next year and lost that home Miami game he would be in deep trouble as far as surviving to 2025. Miami has a coaching issue also but their talent level wont be much behind ours for next year's game.
This post was edited on 10/29/23 at 3:34 pm
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4662 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 3:35 pm to
Hard to say but the East was pretty weak when Mac won it.
Posted by Partha
Member since Jan 2022
7697 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Hard to say but the East was pretty weak when Mac won it.



I don't disagree. He wasn't the answer, but if he hadn't been fired in 2017, we would have had more time to make a better hire than Mullen, would've had Corral instead of Emory and possibly a few other top players in that class he recruited.
Posted by GaryGator
The Swamp
Member since Jun 2017
7099 posts
Posted on 10/29/23 at 5:26 pm to
My post yesterday was reactionary and done out of frustration. I know Napier is not getting fired.

But, his in game, on field coaching decisions, as well as his overall play calling is well below average. It's really not even debatable. Our O line and his 2 coaches suck. Our special teams makes at least one glaring, costly mistake every game. Our defense, is undisciplined and lacks effort sometimes. We run into 8 and 9 man fronts regularly.
This post was edited on 10/29/23 at 5:39 pm
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