re: Stat Model - #1 Bama vs #3 OSU (Title) (7 PM CST) (Jan 11)

When you only have 7 games of data and 1 of them is you basically doubling or tripling a teams average numbers (Clemson), you are going to have some scary good figures.

So, I'd guess that the range out outcomes on this one is a little wider than most.

Clemson was giving up like 3.0 YPA rushing - they gave up 5.8 to OSU.

Clemson was giving up 6.9 YPA passing - they gave up 8.3 to OSU.


I haven't done it, but I'm guessing if you remove the Clemson game and just use their regular season + B1G Title Game the score would be something like 42-28 or something like that.

Not that you should do that, but it just shows how much 1 game moved the needle. If they play like that, they're gonna be tough to beat. If they play like the other 7 games, I feel pretty good. If they play somewhere in between, I feel pretty good.