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SP+ Rating Change after Week 1
Posted on 9/28/20 at 11:31 am
Posted on 9/28/20 at 11:31 am
Interestingly, most of the SEC took a hit to their SP+ rating after actually playing a game. Here's how each teams' overall score was affected:
**The number of teams included in the SP+ analysis rose from 91 up to 126 now that several conferences decided to play a season... therefore, most teams moved back in the rankings just because new teams like Oregon and USC, etc. are now included
+3.8 Mississippi State (from #39 to #38)
+2.7 Auburn (from #11 to #6)
+0.8 Vanderbilt (from #81 to #110)
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-0.7 South Carolina (from #28 to #34)
-0.7 Arkansas (from #55 to #75)
-0.9 Missouri (from #36 to #48)
-1.8 Georgia (from #4 to #4)
-1.8 Ole Miss (from #31 to #44)
-1.8 Florida (from #5 to #8)
-2.2 Tennessee (from #16 to #24)
-3.2 Alabama (from #2 to #3)
-5.1 Texas A&M (from #12 to #19)
-6.1 LSU (from #13 to #25)
-6.3 Kentucky (from #20 to #43)
I think its interesting that Florida fell quite a bit yet in the human polls, they seemed to get a huge boost this week. What did the human voters see in UF this week that the unbiased data did not?
Not surprisingly, LSU's rating fell more than 6 points.... yet they did not have the worst week. It was Kentucky who suffered the largest fall in terms of rating.
Auburn and MSU were the only team to actually rise in the rankings in terms of actual rank... Georgia stayed flat. All 11 other SEC teams fell in the rankings.
**The number of teams included in the SP+ analysis rose from 91 up to 126 now that several conferences decided to play a season... therefore, most teams moved back in the rankings just because new teams like Oregon and USC, etc. are now included
+3.8 Mississippi State (from #39 to #38)
+2.7 Auburn (from #11 to #6)
+0.8 Vanderbilt (from #81 to #110)
-----------
-0.7 South Carolina (from #28 to #34)
-0.7 Arkansas (from #55 to #75)
-0.9 Missouri (from #36 to #48)
-1.8 Georgia (from #4 to #4)
-1.8 Ole Miss (from #31 to #44)
-1.8 Florida (from #5 to #8)
-2.2 Tennessee (from #16 to #24)
-3.2 Alabama (from #2 to #3)
-5.1 Texas A&M (from #12 to #19)
-6.1 LSU (from #13 to #25)
-6.3 Kentucky (from #20 to #43)
I think its interesting that Florida fell quite a bit yet in the human polls, they seemed to get a huge boost this week. What did the human voters see in UF this week that the unbiased data did not?
Not surprisingly, LSU's rating fell more than 6 points.... yet they did not have the worst week. It was Kentucky who suffered the largest fall in terms of rating.
Auburn and MSU were the only team to actually rise in the rankings in terms of actual rank... Georgia stayed flat. All 11 other SEC teams fell in the rankings.
This post was edited on 9/28/20 at 11:33 am
4
Posted on 9/28/20 at 11:34 am to BHMKyle
Connelly I think referred to us in a tweet as #5, so I’m assuming the apparent tie with Texas is an actual tie and not just the result of rounding
Posted on 9/28/20 at 11:36 am to BHMKyle
They saw Florida missing half their starters on defense and beating a decent SEC team on the road with the healthy side of the ball absolutely dominating.
Georgia stayed because they late covered a spread. Anyone who watched the game saw trouble for Georgia. I mean..you averaged 4.3 YPP and 2.9 yards per rush vs Arkansas. That is bad.
Georgia stayed because they late covered a spread. Anyone who watched the game saw trouble for Georgia. I mean..you averaged 4.3 YPP and 2.9 yards per rush vs Arkansas. That is bad.
Posted on 9/28/20 at 11:37 am to BHMKyle
It's really too early to gain much valuable information from computer rankings. And sadly, with the lack of games this year, especially out of conference games, it's likely to not be a great indicator of anything even after the regular season is over.
Posted on 9/28/20 at 11:59 am to BHMKyle
quote:
-3.2 Alabama (from #2 to #3)
Guess Alabama should've left in the starters, won by 60.
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