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re: Alabama Board Coronavirus Thread
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:11 am to Robot Santa
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:11 am to Robot Santa
Alabama 7-day case rate has ticked up a bit, but we just posted the lowest daily increase in cases since late June yesterday. State COVID hospitalizations are down 32% in the last two weeks, which is huge.
CFR update:
Age 0-17: ~9,908 cases, 3 deaths = 0.030% CFR
Age 18-24: ~15,292 cases, 4 deaths = 0.026% CFR
Age 25-49: ~43,950 cases, 88 deaths = 0.200% CFR
Age 50-64: ~22,437 cases, 336 deaths = 1.498% CFR
Age 65+: ~18,408 cases, 1,513 deaths = 8.219% CFR
One thing that stands out is the huge jump in the concentration of cases in the 18-49 group. Also, the CFRs have been dropping like a rock lately. I suspect we're picking up more cases than we were in months past due to additional testing. As always, keep in mind that the figures above are likely multiple times higher than the actual IFR due to the number of untested and/or asymptomatic cases.
CFR update:
Age 0-17: ~9,908 cases, 3 deaths = 0.030% CFR
Age 18-24: ~15,292 cases, 4 deaths = 0.026% CFR
Age 25-49: ~43,950 cases, 88 deaths = 0.200% CFR
Age 50-64: ~22,437 cases, 336 deaths = 1.498% CFR
Age 65+: ~18,408 cases, 1,513 deaths = 8.219% CFR
One thing that stands out is the huge jump in the concentration of cases in the 18-49 group. Also, the CFRs have been dropping like a rock lately. I suspect we're picking up more cases than we were in months past due to additional testing. As always, keep in mind that the figures above are likely multiple times higher than the actual IFR due to the number of untested and/or asymptomatic cases.
2
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:27 am to TideCPA
quote:
One thing that stands out is the huge jump in the concentration of cases in the 18-49 group.
I'd wager the majority of them are in the 18-24 range. The numbers probably reflect the return of students to college campuses.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 9:41 am to TideCPA
quote:
CFR update:
Age 0-17: ~9,908 cases, 3 deaths = 0.030% CFR
Age 18-24: ~15,292 cases, 4 deaths = 0.026% CFR
Age 65+: ~18,408 cases, 1,513 deaths = 8.219% CFR
Have there been any studies that indicate common means of transmission among age groups?
It's interesting to me that there are about 25k cases in ages up to 24, and 18k in ages 65 and older.
Especially in consideration of the huge difference in CFR (0.03% vs. 8.2%), how is the oldest group continuing to contract this at a similar rate, assuming by this point most are retired and (presumably) remaining somewhat sheltered, isolated, etc.?
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