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re: Alabama Board Coronavirus Thread

Posted on 5/16/20 at 11:08 am to
Posted by rcbama
birmingham
Member since Sep 2017
275 posts
Posted on 5/16/20 at 11:08 am to
Last two weeks 23000 died nationally.

Since 5/6 or ten days

Ga 4000 cases 280deaths

Al 3000 cases 145 deaths

case increase is predictable due to increased testing

I am in the dead if you get it group with diabetes and COPD
but I understand there is no choice but to open things up.
The country can not survive economicaly being shut down for
months. Folks like me just have to stay sheltered. Sucks but it is what it is.

Number of cases don't bother me like number of deaths with the caveat that number of cases means there are that many more people to spread it.
Posted by 1BamaRTR
In Your Head Blvd
Member since Apr 2015
22588 posts
Posted on 5/16/20 at 11:15 am to
I think something like 35% of the deaths (as of 2 weeks ago so it might’ve gone up) in Alabama were from nursing homes. I know they all shutdown early but it’s inevitable I guess given the small environment they live in.
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
20770 posts
Posted on 5/16/20 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

I am in the dead if you get it group with diabetes and COPD


I take immunosuppressants to prevent organ rejection. I don't know how much that elevates my risk, but my transplant doctors made it clear early on that even simple infections could be very difficult or even deadly for me. I'm in my 40's so that probably helps some, but I've been taking precautions because I don't want to try and take on this virus with a suppressed immune system.

quote:

I understand there is no choice but to open things up.
The country can not survive economicaly being shut down for
months. Folks like me just have to stay sheltered. Sucks but it is what it is.


I realize that most people under retirement age don't have many, if any, of the highest risk factors (age combined with cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or lung disease are at the top and account for most of the deaths). It's a shame that 36 million healthy people have had to lose their jobs (it is expected that at least 42% of job losses will be permanent), their financial security, and many weeks of access to important services, and access to preventive and diagnostic health care, over this.

We've known for many weeks which groups were going to account for most of the deaths (98.8% of deaths in MN, 97% in Alabama). That works out to about a 0.1% death rate for healthy people among known cases and as low as .005-.05% (among the otherwise healthy) when accounting for results from antibody tests that have revealed millions of completely asymptomatic cases in places like New York. In hindsight, we should have begun targeted measures for at risk people at least a month ago, while easing up on those not at risk so we didn't needlessly ruin the lives of so many millions of people.

But hindsight, as they say, is 20/20.
This post was edited on 5/16/20 at 12:34 pm
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