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re: The IHME Model is Wrong
Posted on 4/26/20 at 11:29 am to dcbl
Posted on 4/26/20 at 11:29 am to dcbl
quote:
we have dramatically overreacted to this; hospitals and medical resources are not overrun and in no danger of being overrun
I think people forget this was the point of quarantine. I also think people forget that what’s happening in one place isn’t necessarily happening in one place.
Alabama shut down for a month. Our “peak” was 20 deaths in a day. We have around 5,750 beds available. At our projected peak, all we needed were 318 beds. Similar type numbers for ICU beds.
1
Posted on 4/26/20 at 6:38 pm to Weagle25
But it didn't happen in areas that were not shut down, nor did non medical "essential" workers die or get sick in droves.
A handful of hotspots set the reaction to this mess
A handful of hotspots set the reaction to this mess
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