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re: Ranking the 1-Loss Playoff Teams by Quality Wins

Posted on 11/21/19 at 11:20 am to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/21/19 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Yes, and all the talking heads are already starting to pave the way that Alabama's "eye test" is better than Oregon or Oklahoma. No one is saying that the only way Bama gets in is if all other conference champs have 2 losses. No one.



For one, that's absolutely an exaggeration. Lots of media pundits and writers are very openly saying Alabama has little to no shot. Mandel, Staples, Feldman, Wolken even Herbstreit recently.

For two, it doesn't matter what they say. The playoffs have picked the 4 teams with the best SOR every year except 1. Alabama in all likelihood will not be in that group unless crazy things happen and they are once again a 1-loss team competing with 2-loss conference champions.

The only thing that has been silly is people acting like past years Alabama received some sort of biased entry into the playoff. They didn't. 2015 and 2017 were Top 4 teams based on every metric, both resume ranking metrics and strength of team metric.
This post was edited on 11/21/19 at 11:21 am
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86553 posts
Posted on 11/21/19 at 11:23 am to
we have a pretty clear history of apples to apples comparisons on how the ocmmittee operates. What's interesting to me is what htey'll do in a scenario we haven't bene presented with yet, namely if LSU loses the SECCG. There is precedent for htis in 2015 when undefeated iowa (top 4 of playoffs) lost to 1-loss MSU in the CCG then MSU went to playoffs and iowa finished 5th, BUT iowa's resume that year isn't close to what LSU's is this season.

Assuming OSU, Clemson, and UGA would be locks in this case, that'd leave you with:

1-loss LSU that lost their ccg
1-loss Pac 12 champ
1-loss Big 12 champ

It'd be really interesting to me what they would do and I honestly have no idea
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