re: Bad losses don’t matter to the CFP committee

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That rational bodes well for Oregon or Oklahoma.

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Than that does not bode well for Oregon at all in your scenario.

Oregon loss to the only team they have played that is currently ranked. Their top 3 opponents with the best winning record each have a 6-4 record. Their last 3 games are against 4-5, 5-4, and 6-4 teams. So they better pray for a 1 loss team in the PAC12 CCG.

OU for that mater has only beaten one team that has one 6 games and the only other team they have beaten with a winning record is 5-4. They lost to a 6-3 KState. But OU will have the best argument at the 4 seed. As they get a shot at an undefeated Baylor probably twice and a ranked OkST. My guess is if OU wins out they will get the spot.