re: Realistically, how big is the gap in the East?

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Georgia is clearly the heavy favorite but if a team will knock them off it will be Mizzou and not Florida IMO

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This is true. UGA has made mizzou 1 dimensional the past 2 seasons and that has been enough for our offense to pull away decent wins.
But the mobile QB is a wrinkle that could open up some cracks and make it tougher for limit Mizzou as a 1 dimensional offense.

They have a punchers chance. A turnover. Special teams play. And the 2 score game is now a footrace in the 4th.