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re: KY/LSU predictions *update*

Posted on 2/11/19 at 7:47 am to
Posted by CoachDon
Louisville
Member since Sep 2014
12409 posts
Posted on 2/11/19 at 7:47 am to
We have won 11 of the past 13 meetings dating back to 2010, with both loses being at the Maravich Assembly Ctr. The average score of these 13 games is UK 78 - LSU 68.

LSU has a nice squad and I like their guards. Tremont is really fun to watch. Naz is a force of nature but hasn't been pushed to play extended minutes this season - often on the 20's. Additionally, we have 4 players @ 6'10" or more and 20 fouls to use against him. He will get his, but he will not beat us.

If I had to predict, I would say 76-74 based on offensive and defensive efficiencies of both teams + home court (+3) = 79-74 Kentucky.

Should be a nice up and down game with athletic plays galore.

This post was edited on 2/11/19 at 7:54 am
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68648 posts
Posted on 2/11/19 at 7:54 am to
quote:

Naz is a force of nature but hasn't been pushed to play extended minutes this season - often on the 20's.


His last 3 conference games - 33 minutes vs. Ark, 35 minutes @ MSU, 35 minutes vs. AU. He's played a lot more in conference play, with him it's just a matter of staying out of foul trouble. He sometimes has a tendency to pickup cheap fouls away from the basket.

All in all should be a fun game, we've been pretty awful from 3 in most of conference play but STARTED to find ourselves back a little vs. Auburn. I think it's definitely going to take a big game from our guards from outside to win @ UK. We need to have one of those efficient performances from 3 in the beginning of conference play like we had against Alabama, Arkansas or Ole Miss...Either way we arent a team like Auburn who just rains down 3's, we love to go inside a lot. #1 fouled team in the SEC.
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