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re: 2018-19 Alabama Basketball Season Thread (15 days to go)

Posted on 10/22/18 at 9:43 am to
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 9:43 am to
KenPom Rankings are out

Alabama #51

Projected Record Overall: 15-14, 8-10 SEC
Individual Game by Game Results Record: 14-15, 5-13

Based on Game by Game, KenPom has you starting 9-1 OOC but then finishing 5-14 SEC + Baylor

Indv Game Result Projections

Bold = "Toss Up" or projected winner <60% Win%


Wins

- Southern
- AppSt
- Northeastern
59%
- Murray St
- Georgia St
- Zona
- Liberty
- Penn St
53%
- SFA
- TAMU
- Ole Miss
- UGA
- Vandy
- LSU

Losses
- @UCF 42%
- Kentucky
- @LSU
- @Mizzou
- @UTk
- @Baylor
- MissSt
47%
- @AU
- @Vandy 42%
- @MissSt
- Florida
45%
- @TAMU
- @USCe
- AU 42%
- @Arky 41%

This post was edited on 10/22/18 at 9:45 am
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37706 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 10:12 am to
Some things to note about KenPom Preseason Rankigns

- Losing Sexton (70% min, 33% Poss) is a killer for KenPom preseason. OU got a similar effect losing TYoung but returning 6 of top 7 MPG leaders

- His projection places insignificant impact value on recruits >Top 30 (Kira not in ESPN, #39 247)


- Tevin Mack while recognized, likely isn't highly valued due to his limited min% at Texas

- Losing Key is probably a hit in the system, as compared to Reese/Smith he prob is near wash offensively (slightly better v higher comp) but defensively his stats were better for KenPom
This post was edited on 10/22/18 at 10:15 am
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
25590 posts
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:59 am to
Yeah, Im gonna guess we are gon a be better than 15-14.

We beat Auburn(SECChamp), URI(A10 champ), Miss.State(25 game winner), and Memphis(20 game winner) without Collin last year.


Kira should be ready to go by SEC play, Mack is an upgrade over Key, Defense is long and more experienced, and Reese,Herb, and Galin should all be further developed on the offensive end.

We are gonna be better than people think.
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