re: OT: Anybody think Abrams has a shot against Kemp?

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Clearly Jefferson isn't a math person. Those stats arent good hahaha. Here let me help you with an exampl I'll keep the numbers small for you ;).

200 ppl vote and lets say 50% are GOP and the other 50% is Dem.

That means 100 Reps will vote in the election. Well aparantly that 26% of that 100 now no longer identify as Rep. Thats 100-26=74
Now its GOP=74 Ind=26 Dem=100
Trump approval rating is 85% among Reps. Which means 85% of 74=64.
Now you are looking at TGOP=64 GOP=10 Ind=26 Dem=100
Those numbers aren't good for the TGOP and problem for TGOP is the Dems fall in line like sheep more than traditional GOPs do. I think Kemp wins but not by much. GOP end up worse off with House and Senate. GOP will lose majority in the House and the Senate wont shift.

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I'm not here to fight JD's battle for him, but you just went the long way around the block to agree with him.