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re: OT: Anybody think Abrams has a shot against Kemp?
Posted on 7/26/18 at 8:20 pm to Jefferson Dawg
Posted on 7/26/18 at 8:20 pm to Jefferson Dawg
Clearly Jefferson isn't a math person. Those stats arent good hahaha. Here let me help you with an exampl I'll keep the numbers small for you ;).
200 ppl vote and lets say 50% are GOP and the other 50% is Dem.
That means 100 Reps will vote in the election. Well aparantly that 26% of that 100 now no longer identify as Rep. Thats 100-26=74
Now its GOP=74 Ind=26 Dem=100
Trump approval rating is 85% among Reps. Which means 85% of 74=64.
Now you are looking at TGOP=64 GOP=10 Ind=26 Dem=100
Those numbers aren't good for the TGOP and problem for TGOP is the Dems fall in line like sheep more than traditional GOPs do. I think Kemp wins but not by much. GOP end up worse off with House and Senate. GOP will lose majority in the House and the Senate wont shift.
200 ppl vote and lets say 50% are GOP and the other 50% is Dem.
That means 100 Reps will vote in the election. Well aparantly that 26% of that 100 now no longer identify as Rep. Thats 100-26=74
Now its GOP=74 Ind=26 Dem=100
Trump approval rating is 85% among Reps. Which means 85% of 74=64.
Now you are looking at TGOP=64 GOP=10 Ind=26 Dem=100
Those numbers aren't good for the TGOP and problem for TGOP is the Dems fall in line like sheep more than traditional GOPs do. I think Kemp wins but not by much. GOP end up worse off with House and Senate. GOP will lose majority in the House and the Senate wont shift.
2
Posted on 7/26/18 at 8:34 pm to NCdawgfan34
quote:
Clearly Jefferson isn't a math person. Those stats arent good hahaha. Here let me help you with an exampl I'll keep the numbers small for you ;).
200 ppl vote and lets say 50% are GOP and the other 50% is Dem.
That means 100 Reps will vote in the election. Well aparantly that 26% of that 100 now no longer identify as Rep. Thats 100-26=74
Now its GOP=74 Ind=26 Dem=100
Trump approval rating is 85% among Reps. Which means 85% of 74=64.
Now you are looking at TGOP=64 GOP=10 Ind=26 Dem=100
Those numbers aren't good for the TGOP and problem for TGOP is the Dems fall in line like sheep more than traditional GOPs do. I think Kemp wins but not by much. GOP end up worse off with House and Senate. GOP will lose majority in the House and the Senate wont shift.
I'm not here to fight JD's battle for him, but you just went the long way around the block to agree with him.
Posted on 7/26/18 at 8:51 pm to NCdawgfan34
quote:
Here let me help you with an exampl I'll keep the numbers small for you
You're numbers are useless and moronic.
Meanwhile a bunch of democrat leaning polling agencies called a bunch of registered republicans and found that 85% of them said they would take a bullet for the president. Which is is up from the 3% that said this the day Trump won the presidency. By all means though, please ignore this elephant sitting in the room
Now. If you want some more numbers that should scare the shite out of a you.......... look up what the poll numbers were between Cagele and Kemp just a few days ago before Trump's endorsement. Then look at them the day after, and the day after that. And of course look at the blowout runoff tallies for Kemp.
Trump handed Kemp the 18% or so that were "undecided" between Cagle/Kemp.
He did it in 15 seconds. In less than 148 characters or whatever it is. With a fricking tweet!
Ha ha. You're screwed. And irrelevant.
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