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re: Auburn could have hired Kirby after the 2012 season.

Posted on 12/21/17 at 2:01 pm to
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 12/21/17 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

That's why I said IMO...Clemson was in...The BCS historically punished late season loses more than the committee. I bet it would have ended Clemson vs Okie.


Essentially every BCS "replacement" simulation that I've seen has had UGA at 2 and Oklahoma at 3...

LINK
LINK

Your "opinion" doesn't offset the simulations of what is more or less a known quantity in terms of equation... while it can't be exact as there are some systems that are no longer present and have to be substituted, the closest approximation shows that you'd be wrong.

"punished late season losses" was typically due to the actual AP poll (read: human) bias... not the computer calculations.
This post was edited on 12/21/17 at 2:02 pm
Posted by Tigerman97
Member since Jun 2014
10354 posts
Posted on 12/21/17 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Your "opinion" doesn't offset the simulations of what is more or less a known quantity in terms of equation... while it can't be exact as there are some systems that are no longer present and have to be substituted, the closest approximation shows that you'd be wrong.


Again those simulations have to use the info at hand which is skewed now because of the Committee...no simulation can accurately depict what would have happened if you some how could have miraculously applied the old system on this season. What we do know is uga finished #3 in the Coaches poll? It is likely the Harris Poll would have followed suit?

As those simulations admit in the links you provide they aren't accurate because they aren't using the correct info.

Another factor under the BCS formula there is zero chance Auburn would have been ranked #2 in the SECCG...which would have weakened the only advantage uga had on Okie in the computer analysis.
This post was edited on 12/21/17 at 2:21 pm
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