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re: Interesting perspective on the Gus era
Posted on 10/9/17 at 5:04 pm to weagle99
Posted on 10/9/17 at 5:04 pm to weagle99
I would be interested in looking at an "Acceptable Loss" ratio type metric
So first arbitrarily decide "I'm not going to penalize a coach for losing against a final AP**(Or Coaches w/e) top 15 opponent in his career" (Could be top 10 or top 25)
For top 15, count up the coach's total career games played vs Final AP Top 15 opponents and this is your "Acceptable Losses" for the coaches career
The Acceptable Loss Ratio = "Acceptable Losses" / Total Losses
>1 Ratio -> Coach upsets more teams than his team gets upset
=1 Ratio -> Coach is upset the same number of times he upsets other teams
<1 Ratio -> Coach is upset more often than he is upsets top teams
Why?
The logic basically is there shouldn't be a reward for winning a game as favorite nor a punishment for losing a game as underdog
So first arbitrarily decide "I'm not going to penalize a coach for losing against a final AP**(Or Coaches w/e) top 15 opponent in his career" (Could be top 10 or top 25)
For top 15, count up the coach's total career games played vs Final AP Top 15 opponents and this is your "Acceptable Losses" for the coaches career
The Acceptable Loss Ratio = "Acceptable Losses" / Total Losses
>1 Ratio -> Coach upsets more teams than his team gets upset
=1 Ratio -> Coach is upset the same number of times he upsets other teams
<1 Ratio -> Coach is upset more often than he is upsets top teams
Why?
The logic basically is there shouldn't be a reward for winning a game as favorite nor a punishment for losing a game as underdog
This post was edited on 10/9/17 at 5:10 pm
Posted on 10/9/17 at 5:38 pm to GenesChin
Name coaches with 5 years experience who have shown themselves to be clearly better than Gus. The list gets small, fast. Saban...Dabo...Meyer...Shaw...maybe Franklin. It’s a mistake to assume Patterson or Leach will do better than what they have done just cause we are Auburn.
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