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re: Hog Basketball RPI, Bracketology, and ITS ALL DOWN...BUT NOT OUT!
Posted on 3/2/17 at 1:03 pm to PygmalionEffect
Posted on 3/2/17 at 1:03 pm to PygmalionEffect
Lets be honest here...while I know everyone cannot wait for our next Final Four, we can all agree that isn't what our expectations are for this year or this team.
So lets look at this with a good mind for a second...
I think we would all consider a Sweet 16 appearance to be a great year for this team. I also think a Sweet 16 appearance is a reasonable goal. Basically, we would be evenly matched in the first round with a team of our caliber, or slightly below. If our team performs just as they are capable of, we would move on to the round of 32. In the 2nd round, we would more than likely have to play a bit better, depending on who we play. If we are a 7 or a 10, obviously our chances are better. Playing a #1 seed in the 2nd round just isn't a good draw for this bunch.
I guess what I am saying is...this team has played well enough away from home for us to at least win one game and then hope our seeding sets up to where we avoid a 1 seed in the second round. I wouldn't be upset with a 10 seed and I certainly would be fine with a 7 seed.
Could we get hot? Sure...but realistically, we are watching all of this day by day just to have 2-3 extra games in the tourney. Hopefully we can get that far and have something to build on for the future.
So lets look at this with a good mind for a second...
I think we would all consider a Sweet 16 appearance to be a great year for this team. I also think a Sweet 16 appearance is a reasonable goal. Basically, we would be evenly matched in the first round with a team of our caliber, or slightly below. If our team performs just as they are capable of, we would move on to the round of 32. In the 2nd round, we would more than likely have to play a bit better, depending on who we play. If we are a 7 or a 10, obviously our chances are better. Playing a #1 seed in the 2nd round just isn't a good draw for this bunch.
I guess what I am saying is...this team has played well enough away from home for us to at least win one game and then hope our seeding sets up to where we avoid a 1 seed in the second round. I wouldn't be upset with a 10 seed and I certainly would be fine with a 7 seed.
Could we get hot? Sure...but realistically, we are watching all of this day by day just to have 2-3 extra games in the tourney. Hopefully we can get that far and have something to build on for the future.
2
Posted on 3/2/17 at 1:53 pm to Hawgeye
The problem or difference today is the committee loves to stack the deck against teams or intentionally pair teams who have trouble matching up with other teams. Back through the 90s they basically ranked you and filled the ladder from there.
Wichita state had no chance of advancing far a few years ago when the committee bracketed them with strong teams round after round possibilities because they played a weak schedule, they even under ranked badly the Kentucky team that beat them so they would have to prove the deserved to make it to the final four.
Wichita state had no chance of advancing far a few years ago when the committee bracketed them with strong teams round after round possibilities because they played a weak schedule, they even under ranked badly the Kentucky team that beat them so they would have to prove the deserved to make it to the final four.
Posted on 3/2/17 at 6:55 pm to Hawgeye
quote:
Hawgeye
It's all about match ups. Florida is a bad match up for us as shown in the 2 games we've played against them.
Our only legit win was vs USCe. Our 2 shitty losses were to Mizzou and Vandy at home, which looms large with the committee vs our quality wins. Maybe you could throw in the loss vs MissStake at home as another shitty loss.
If we get a favorable match up in the in the round of 32, I could see a sweet 16 appearance.
Just don't think this team could get hot enough to beat a team that has size and speed.
The UGA game will be a good test as UGA needs this win more than we do, as far as there Tourney hopes are concerned.
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