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re: Predicted SEC Basketball records according to warrennolan.com

Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:57 pm to
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
31106 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

OU and Texas are both around .500. If they're finishing 6th or 7th in a 10 team conference, they might be below .500 on the season


No they won't be. 6th place last season in the Big 12 was Baylor and they went 10-8. Texas Tech finished 7th and were 9-9.

quote:

They're not tournament teams unless they go 12-6ish in Big XII play


19-12 and 9-9 got 7th place Texas Tech into the NCAA tourney last year with an RPI of 50.

You're undervaluing what winning games in the Big 12 does to a teams RPI.
Posted by GatorsGators
Member since Oct 2012
13454 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

No they won't be. 6th place last season in the Big 12 was Baylor and they went 10-8. Texas Tech finished 7th and were 9-9.
That was with Oklahoma State going 3-15 and TCU 2-16. I don't think there are any awful teams in that conference this year to suck up losses. The 6th team in a 10 team conference going 10-8 is statistically less likely than that team going 8-10.
quote:

19-12 and 9-9 got 7th place Texas Tech into the NCAA tourney last year with an RPI of 50. You're undervaluing what winning games in the Big 12 does to a teams RPI.
The difference is that Texas Tech was 10-3 out-of-conference. Their record was still in "acceptable range."

OU and UT are both 6-5 and both could easily lose another out-of-conference game. A 16-14 or 15-15 Oklahoma team isn't making the tournament, even if their RPI is in the 50s.
This post was edited on 12/22/16 at 2:07 pm
Posted by MeatPants
Member since Nov 2015
8853 posts
Posted on 12/22/16 at 2:19 pm to
Texas and Oklahoma are 6-5. They are not going to the tournament if they are 9-9 or 10-8 in big 12. No chance

Severely overrating these wins. Syracuse sucks too. They lost by 33 to St. John's who is quite possibly the worst power conference team out there
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