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Interesting numbers

Posted on 12/21/16 at 10:22 am
Posted by JAGsports
Union Star
Member since Dec 2015
948 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 10:22 am
37 of 44 Pro Bowlers were 3 stars or lower
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
16670 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 10:57 am to
I think I read somewhere that 12 of the 44 were no stars
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33369 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 11:02 am to
I don't think that's accurate

LINK
Posted by JAGsports
Union Star
Member since Dec 2015
948 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 11:43 am to
That is correct it's actually 43 of 78 were 3 stars of lower
Posted by MIZ_COU
I'm right here
Member since Oct 2013
13771 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 12:53 pm to
but but but recruiting rankings are destiny. The rant tells us so errday
Posted by wubilli
Columbia
Member since Apr 2014
5517 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 1:01 pm to
If you look at it from a probability standpoint it all makes sense.
There are 20-30 5 stars a year
200-300 4 stars
Over 500 3 stars.
Posted by Sleeping Tiger
Member since Sep 2013
8488 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 1:10 pm to
Probability is one thing.

But the concept of elasticity and growth is another.

A lot of 4 and 5 star guys are nearly, if not fully developed very early. You look at some of these guys and they're man-children but in some of them you just don't see much elasticity and room for growth.

It's a lot more common to see that fresh rubber band in a younger looking 3 star guy than the 18 year old 4 star who already looks 25.

Posted by MIZ_COU
I'm right here
Member since Oct 2013
13771 posts
Posted on 12/21/16 at 1:42 pm to
there is a sight a used to go to that did a probabilistic analysis of star rankings. It turns out they are about half as predictive as advertised.
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