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re: S&P Advanced Stats : 11/19 and Rivalry Game Odds and Score Picks

Posted on 11/15/16 at 10:23 am to
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 10:23 am to
quote:


#67 Mississippi St vs #51 Arkansas
Arkansas 31-29 (55% chance to win)


#62 Missouri vs #51 Arkansas
Arkansas 31-30 (52% chance to win)



This is also a little strange to me. I feel much better about the Mizzou game than the Mississippi State game.
Posted by hehatedrew
New Zealand
Member since Oct 2009
25504 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 10:31 am to
Yeah, that doesn't make a ton of sense.
Posted by Triple Daves
ITP
Member since Sep 2016
5740 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 10:39 am to
quote:

This is also a little strange to me. I feel much better about the Mizzou game than the Mississippi State game.


Here is my guess

Arkansas passing offense : 19th
Mississippi St passing defense : 113th

Arkansas' biggest issue with passing is keeping Allen clean, right?

Arkansas Adjusted Sack Rate Offense : 73rd
Mississippi St Adjusted Sack Rate Defense : 97th

So, basically, Arkansas is going to throw for 500 yards.


So, Arkansas will throw at will and State will run at will. Missouri is similar. Really bad pass defense, not great sack rates.

This post was edited on 11/15/16 at 10:41 am
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