Scoring Offense/Defense Analysis (Tennessee)

Links to the previous ones.

Arkansas

A&M 45 (9 more than max), Arkansas 24 (2 more than max)

South Carolina

A&M 24 (4 points less than max), South Carolina 13 (9 points more than max)

A&M (39.2 PF/14.8 PA, 32.7/16.7 SEC) averages 16.3 more than its opponents allow (13.3 in SEC play) and allows 12.8 less than its opponents score (10.4 in SEC play)

Tennessee (33.0 PF/23.0 PA, 36.0/29.5 SEC) averages 10.9 more than its opponents allow (14.8 in SEC play) and allows 7.3 less than its opponents score (2.1 MORE in SEC play)

Using the four predictive models, you get the following scores:

A&M 39, Tennessee 20
A&M 43, Tennessee 26
A&M 32, Tennessee 26
A&M 35, Tennessee 31

From this model, A&M scores between 32-43 and Tennessee scores between 26-31.

In no model does Tennessee win. The model has 2/4 predicting A&M by more than 16, which would normally indicate a 2 score win, BUT the other two have A&M by less than 8, which equates to a tossup.

Splitting the difference, A&M by 1 score.

Unfortunately, it's College Gameday, so the Aggies lose by 8 or fewer points.