re: Purdue fans on Appleby & stats.

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Purdue is not Florida. The talent surrounding Appleby should be significantly better. But Appleby did not play well at Purdue by any metric (QB rating of 108.4 in his two years, 19 TD and 19 INT).

The key question is whether graduate transfers play better after they leave one situation for another.

To examine this, I looked at the QB rating of all quarterbacks who were graduate transfers and played at their new school in either 2014 or 2015. I limited the list to those who had at least 100 attempts at both schools and used QB rating because it does show astrong correlation with winning. Understandably, this list is relatively short, but it does seem instructive in terms of what Gators fans should expect from Appleby.

There were eight graduate transfer QBs in 2014 or 2015 who saw significant playing time at their first school. As shown in the table below, two showed significant improvement, one took a significant step back and the other five showed extremely small improvements in their play. On average, the QBs showed a 6.5 percent improvement in their quarterback rating.

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Both of these conclusions do not bode well for Appleby. His QB rating in 2015 for Purdue was 113.6. To put that into perspective, Appleby ranked 104 out of 124 QBs. For even more perspective, he ranked five spots below former Gators QB Treon Harris.

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