re: What are the chances Alabama loses 3 games or more this year?

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Recent history would indicate that the odds are very low.

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I wouldn't say incredibly low. They have a tough schedule this year, and even the best teams stumble (c.f. 2010.) It's not like they have anything to prove, really -- they're still the most dominant CFB program of the last 8 years -- so even if they do lose 3 games or more, that isn't really something that a reasonable person could troll them over.

Though the "or more" part chances might be pretty low. That would probably mean they lost all of their biggest games, which isn't likely to happen