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re: Cruz once again exceeds expectations
Posted on 4/6/16 at 10:26 am to RoyalAir
Posted on 4/6/16 at 10:26 am to RoyalAir
quote:
I don't understand why conventional wisdom would suggest Trump would do well there. Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, and the GOP establishment are heavily entrenched and motivated in Wisconsin. Couple that with local talk radio being at the forefront of the Never Trump movement, and this was a perfect storm of coalescing behind one candidate to beat Trump.
I don't think you'll see another state be as hostile to Trump as Wisconsin was for quite a while.
Yep.
quote:
Still, this probably ensures a brokered convention, and Paul Ryan as the GOPe candidate to get rocked by HillDawg in November.
Maybe. The next two weeks will tell the tale. There are 267 delegates up for grabs and all but 19 are in winner-take-all or winner-take-most states. In every one but Delaware (which apparently hasn't been polled), Trump has a lead usually outside the margin of error. If he sweeps those, he will be in a powerful position.
quote:
Still, this probably ensures a brokered convention, and Paul Ryan as the GOPe candidate to get rocked by HillDawg in November.
If Paul Ryan gets nominated having not participated in the primaries, he won't just get rocked. Trump will go independent and Ryan will not carry a single state. I just cannot see anyone in the (R) party being stupid enough to go that route. The nominee will be Trump or Cruz.
1
Posted on 4/6/16 at 11:34 am to JustGetItRight
quote:
If Paul Ryan gets nominated having not participated in the primaries, he won't just get rocked. Trump will go independent and Ryan will not carry a single state. I just cannot see anyone in the (R) party being stupid enough to go that route. The nominee will be Trump or Cruz.
I'm afraid you underestimate the Establishment. This process has made it very clear that you, the voter, don't matter at all. The Party does what the Party wants. I think Ryan knows he is Next In Line, which is why he didn't endorse Cruz the other day when Walker did.
If the GOP does this and screws over Trump or Cruz with someone who isn't in the race, then the GOP will essentially collapse by the end of the year. It's the right time for a legit third party to cater to the traditional Republican base that has been ignored. Wonder if that will actually happen.
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