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re: 2015 Clemson vs 2011 LSU
Posted on 1/14/16 at 1:01 pm to iglass
Posted on 1/14/16 at 1:01 pm to iglass
quote:
Look, goob, it was just a simulation with a small sample size. I provided a link.... run a few more and see what you get. It will average out to the true probable game situation in the end if you run enough
The simulation spit out 4 20+ point wins for Clemson in 10 games.
It's clearly shite.
Posted on 1/14/16 at 1:54 pm to RB10
Honey Badger and crew would have would have eaten that spread for lunch. Only reason Clemson scored so much is Bama's style of defense has the most trouble against the spread. LSU's was built to stop the spread.
Just ask Johnny Football how he thinks Watson would have done...
Just ask Johnny Football how he thinks Watson would have done...
This post was edited on 1/14/16 at 1:56 pm
Posted on 1/14/16 at 2:10 pm to RB10
quote:
The simulation spit out 4 20+ point wins for Clemson in 10 games.
It's clearly shite.
I'm not sure you understand what a "small sample size" is and how that relates to Monte Carlo simulations.
Follow the link. Simulate some more for yourself. The more you run, the closer to the true probability average will occur. Go. Have fun. Get out of the house a bit. See some sunshine.
Edit: here's the link again: 2015 Clemson vs 2011 LSU Simulation
At the original posting, the simulation had been run about 20 times, now it is up to at least 50 and the overall winning record has swung slightly to Clemson.
You might find it quite interesting to unhide player stats and show the individual plays. It's not perfect - it's a theoretical exercise, though one statistically based. I find these sort of simulations to be interesting, maybe you will too.
This post was edited on 1/14/16 at 2:18 pm
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