re: Realistic expectations for Kirby Smart?We know that a top 10 finish 1/2 the time

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2016 schedule -

UNC at GA Dome - ( Williams is a SR ) - W
NICK ST - W
@ MIZZ - W
@ OM - L
UT - L
@ USC - W
VU - W
UF - toss up ( they are losing a lot on D and QB situation)
@ UK - W
AU - W
LS CAJUNS - W
GT - W

I'm looking at 10-2, 9-3 at worse.
Where does anyone really see 4-6 losses?

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Just to play devils advocate. Three games of note that could flip:

NC - Williams is a SR, but Georgia will have an 18 year old true freshmen at QB.
AU - I think they had a young team this past year, and it's not like Georgia blew them away.
GT - Tech was decimated by injuries this past season and had a lot of young guys on the field.

In 2016 we will be without our only legitimate weapon from 2015 at WR, breaking in a brand new QB as a true freshmen, two of maybe the best O-lineman on the team, and 3 of the better players on the defense this past season from the front 7. Oh and special teams, we will need a new place kicker. Hopefully it's next guy up in all of those situations, but I'm not ready to pencil in 9 or 10 wins as a given with so much turnover to go along with a schedule which will likely be more difficult than 2015.