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Bama Effect might be real: Teams are actually getting worse after playing Tide

Posted on 11/17/15 at 8:58 pm
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
33989 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 8:58 pm
quote:

Percentiles are an effective way of measuring a team's performance (with opponent adjustments) in a single number. You can look at a team's schedule and quickly discern trends, highs, lows, etc.

Alabama's trends are, shall we say, strong. The Crimson Tide have played at the 80th percentile or higher in every game but one (you can guess the one), and after a bit of a dip against Texas A&M, they've improved for three straight weeks, from 80th percentile to 83rd to 88th (shutting down Leonard Fournette without overemphasizing him) to 95th (showing off a new pass rush by sacking Dak Prescott nine times).

I'm more interested in Alabama's opponents, however. The Bama Effect appears to be real. For all the attention Tide fans give to scheduling -- and how it kind of seems like every opponent gets a week off before playing Bama -- opponents should be more focused on getting a break afterward.

Let's look at conference opponents:

Ole Miss' average performance was in the 97th percentile in the two weeks before Bama and the 41st in the two weeks after.

Georgia's average performance was in the 86th percentile in the three weeks before Bama and the 41st in the three weeks after.

Texas A&M's average performance was in the 79th percentile in the three weeks before Bama and the 35th in the three weeks after.

For the season, LSU was averaging in the 84th percentile before Bama. Last week against Arkansas: 26th.

Arkansas and Tennessee appear to have immunized against the Bama Effect. Everybody else in the SEC: not so much.

Alabama's latest victim, Mississippi State, plays at Arkansas this Saturday.


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Posted by AllBamaDoesIsWin
Member since Dec 2011
26725 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 9:01 pm to
It is physically and mentally exhausting to play the most talented team in the country, knowing it is likely your biggest game of the year.
Posted by rockytop627
Member since Jan 2014
10041 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 9:02 pm to
Before playing Bama: 3-3
Since playing Bama: 3-0

Bitch
Posted by Neylands7Maxims
Knoxville
Member since Oct 2015
149 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 9:05 pm to
Already seen this today.
Posted by mightysooner
Phoenix, AZ
Member since Jun 2015
1252 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 9:10 pm to
Getting worse because they weren't worthy of their lofty rankings to begin with.
Posted by presidenthog
Member since May 2015
1944 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 9:12 pm to
this has already been well documented. teams lose after they play bama because of how physical they are in the trenches. I don't think bama is as physical as they have been in the past on offense but the defense is just as physical as it always has been.
Posted by LC412000
Any location where a plane flies
Member since Mar 2004
16673 posts
Posted on 11/17/15 at 9:47 pm to
I have to agree with the OP as Ohio State really got worse after playing Alabama last season
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