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re: Updated Heisman odds

Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:47 pm to
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
96699 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

It's very possible that Henry goes for: 100 vs Charleston Southern 200 at Auburn 150 vs Florida So the separation between Elliot and Henry would be razor thin. It would be really tough to tease out the two, but I think Henry gets it, because he'll also have more TDs.
So lets say your numbers happen vs auburn.

Henry will be at :

1908 yards, 146 yds/game, about 6.25 ypc(I assumed carries of 15,25,25 his last three games

Lets assime LF goes 150 and 270(I use this b/c this is his only shot for arguments sake)

He will be at;

1894 yards, 172 yds/game, 6.92 yards per carry(I assumed carries of 30,30)

Lets assume Elliot goes 150+ all three games remaining:

1875 yards, 144 yards/game, 6.35 yards per carry(I assumed carries of 25,25,25)

So here is the side by side comparrion

Henry 146yds/ game 6.25 YPC
LF 172yds/game 6.92 YPC
Elliot 144 yds/game 6.35 YPC



So, without being a homer LF will have a pretty big lead statistically, plus he will have the preseason and recruiting media hype for him. Elliot and Henry will have the undefeated team help for them. Would make for a very interesting vote
This post was edited on 11/16/15 at 3:48 pm
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 11/16/15 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

Henry 146yds/ game 6.25 YPC
LF 172yds/game 6.92 YPC
Elliot 144 yds/game 6.35 YPC


Now do a deeper dive and see where those yards came from. How did LF do when it mattered most against the best 2-3 teams he played? how did Henry do in those same situations? How about Zeke?

I like LF. Seems like an awesome person and a great player, but being non-factors in games where his team gets beat by double digits while the opposing running backS (2 backs on Bama and 1 - almost 2- on Arky) outrushed him in those games is not a Heisman trophy winning performance. I don't care what he did against Syracuse and Western Michigan. What did he do against the big boys?
This post was edited on 11/16/15 at 3:59 pm
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