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re: If UGA were to win out...
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:51 pm to RussIX
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:51 pm to RussIX
quote:
If UGA wins out and beats a 1-loss Bama in the SECCG our resume ends up looking alot different than it does now.
we'd be 1-1 against the best team we played and lost to a team that could finish 6-6.
Of OSU, MSU, Baylor, TCU, Clemson, and Utah...if any 4 of those go undefeated we don't have a remote chance in hell. Even if the 4 conference winners among that group all 4 have a loss, we still would need an absolute miracle.
quote:
we'd be a relatively strong candidate at that point.
Why, because of a win over bama (who we also lost to)?
Ok, what else? A good UF team that will probably be ranked around 15th, ok. Nobody else on our schedule is worth a shite and it's entirely possible none of our other wins would be over ranked teams.
2
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:57 pm to WG_Dawg
Yeah, it's not really worth getting our hopes up. I'm still gonna root for teams like Utah to lose this week at USC, because that's the only shot we have, but the chances of that happening are probably below 10%.
Combine that with our chances of winning out we're probably looking at a 2% chance of making the playoff.
Combine that with our chances of winning out we're probably looking at a 2% chance of making the playoff.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 4:21 pm to WG_Dawg
quote:
OSU, MSU, Baylor, TCU, Clemson, and Utah...if any 4 of those go undefeated
OSU & MSU and Baylor & TCU play eachother so 4 is the maximum out of that group who could potentially go undefeated
Outside of potential conference championships (not relevant to TCU or Baylor) they would only have the following currently ranked teams on their schedules:
Utah- Michigan(15), California(20)
TCU- Baylor(2), OKlahoma(17), OKST(14)
Baylor- TCU(4), Oklahoma(17), OKST(14)
OSU- Michigan(15), MSU(7)
MSU- Michigan(15), OSU(1)
Clemson - FSU(9), ND(11)
So in the UGA winning out and beating 1-loss Bama scenario, we would have 2 wins against ranked teams which could potentially stack up favorably to even 1-loss versions of the above teams, which, depending on how the championship games and final ranking shake out, could have only one win against ranked teams.
Not to mention that there is a good chance that one of the other conferences could have a 2-loss champ
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